Best Home Run Bet for Today: FanDuel Daily Dinger Pick for Monday, September 21

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Christian Encarnacion-Strand (+430)

Each day during the 2026 MLB season, FanDuel Sportsbook is running a FREE Daily Dinger promo.

Simply pick one player you think will hit a home run today. If your player hits a DINGER, you’ll get a Profit Boost Token tomorrow to use on ANY MLB Wager!

See here for full terms and conditions, and learn about today's other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. This HR pick is taken from today’s home run picks article. Click here to find it as well our other MLB betting content.

Best Home Run Pick Today, Daily Dinger

Home Run Prediction: Christian Encarnacion-Strand (+430)

Blue Jays at Orioles, 6:36 p.m. ET

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has proven to be a savvy pickup for the Baltimore Orioles, and I like him today in a home matchup with Trey Yesavage and the Toronto Blue Jays.

Encarnacion-Strand has homered 10 times through 198 plate appearances this season. He’s got a 45.0% hard-hit rate with a .350 wOBA. He’s hot right now, too, posting a .413 wOBA with two jacks over his last 35 plate appearances.

Yesavage burst onto the scene last year but has taken a step back in 2026, producing a 4.56 SIERA. He’s surrendered a 49.6% fly-ball rate, and this will be his first start off the IL. So not only could Yesavage be a bit rusty, but Encarnacion-Strand should see a good amount of a Jays bullpen that has the 12th-worst reliever xFIP in the second half.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

New customers can get up to $250 in Bonus Bets — guaranteed — when you bet $5 every day for five days. Place your first wager now! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today's other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.