Balogun (+145) is confirmed resting — his price was set before FOX's 7:16 PM confirmation and will lengthen dramatically after lineups. Pepi and Wright at +165 are the stable plays. Pulisic at +175 is the TBD wildcard. Reyna at +225 is the confirmed creative starter who scored vs Paraguay.

Key timing: Official lineups drop ~9:15 PM ET. Prices shift significantly then. Pepi +165 and Wright +165 are locked regardless. Avoid Balogun at +145 — check updated bench price after lineups if you want him. Turkey darts (Aktürkoğlu ~+275, Yıldız ~+300) available at Squawka/Oddschecker price ranges — check FD live.

FOX: "This week he could be the primary target up top and maybe score his first World Cup goal." CBS: "Pepi has scored 27 league goals for PSV Eindhoven over the last two seasons." Squawka: "The lead striker for the hosts is the highest-percentage anytime-scorer pick on the board." Confirmed ST start with Balogun sitting. $10→$26.50.

Pepi +165 — primary. Confirmed ST. FOX/CBS explicit. 27 PSV goals. $10→$26.50.

⚠️ AVOID at +145. FOX confirmed Balogun is resting. His anytime price will lengthen significantly after 9:15 PM lineups. If you want him off the bench, check FD for the updated bench price after lineups drop.

Pulisic: "I'm feeling good, hopefully I'll be able to play a part tomorrow." Covers: "Even if Pulisic only gets 15-20 minutes, he's still the United States' most dangerous threat." If he enters in the second half with USA winning, his movement and technique make him a live scorer even in limited time. If he starts — this becomes the primary pick. Check FD at lineup drop. $10→$27.50.

FD Research: "Haji Wright is an explosive bench impact option." Sunderland forward, same +165 as Pepi. If USA go up 2-0 and Wright enters at 65+ mins against a demoralised Turkish defence, he's a live scorer. $10→$26.50.

Scored against Paraguay. Confirmed likely starter. With regulars rested, Reyna gets more creative freedom in the 3-4-3. He drives at defenders and has the technical quality to finish from wide. +225 against Turkey's beleaguered defence. $10→$32.50.

Aaronson +260 ($10→$36): FOX: "Brenden Aaronson hasn't logged a minute of this World Cup yet — he should be hungry to prove himself." Burnley, wide forward, projected starter in the rotation XI. $10→$36.

Zendejas +260 ($10→$36): Cruz Azul. Also 0 WC minutes. Bench/start option. Same price as Aaronson. Small dart.

McKennie +310 ($10→$41): Juventus CM, box arrivals. If USA go 2-0 up early. $5 dart.

Turkey darts — check FD live: Squawka is explicit on Aktürkoğlu: "Second-highest xG in the Turkish squad — the most natural finisher in Montella's setup." Turkey have 62 shots and 0 goals — regression must happen. Aktürkoğlu (Galatasaray) ~+275, Yıldız (Juventus) ~+300, Güler (Real Madrid) ~+300 ⚠️ fitness. Check FD. $5 max each.