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Giovanni Reyna · USA

+225 anytime · +150 SoT

BVB · scored vs PAR · check FD score/assist

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Ricardo Pepi · USA

+165 anytime · +800 2+ goals

PSV · confirmed ST · check FD score/assist

With Balogun and Adams rested and Pulisic likely bench, Pepi and Reyna are the two featured attacking players tonight. Both are expected to start with full playing time. Turkey are eliminated, 0 goals in 62 shots — this is the most open game the USMNT will play all tournament.

Oddschecker: "Because the U.S. has nothing left to gain in the group standings, the coaching staff could allow Pepi to play alongside other players eager to make an impression — that creates a major opportunity for Pepi." WSN: "Reyna is one player pushing hard for an opportunity from the first whistle. He scored a stunning goal against Paraguay, bending a gorgeous outside-of-the-foot shot into the corner."

🎯 Giovanni Reyna — All Props

BVB · RW/AM · 10 WC goals in 40 USMNT caps · scored stunning goal vs Paraguay · Turkey vulnerable to wide attackers

Dimers' #1 prop today: "Our model has found value on Giovanni Reyna over 0.5 shots on target. A probability of 43.0% gives this play an edge of 3.0% at +150 odds." Yahoo/Covers: "Turkey has struggled to contain wide players — particularly those attacking Turkey's right side. Reyna expected on that side makes him an attractive value play." One shot on target is all it takes. He had one when he scored vs Paraguay. $10→$25.

Reyna 1+ SoT +150 — Dimers' #1 prop of the day. 43% probability, 3% edge. Safest Reyna prop. $10→$25.

WSN: "Reyna has scored 10 goals in 40 caps — a pretty good record for someone who is not a regular starter." He scored vs Paraguay bending a gorgeous outside-of-the-foot shot into the corner — his exact calling card from a wide-right / central AM position. Tonight he IS the regular, getting the creative freedom with Balogun, Adams and Pulisic all absent. Turkey's right side has been repeatedly exposed (Yahoo/Covers). $10→$32.50.

Reyna +225 — scored vs Paraguay, confirmed starter, Turkey weak on right side. $10→$32.50.

WSN's explicit #1 USA pick: "Of all the World Cup USA player props, we like the look of Gio Reyna to score or assist at +160." This covers both his primary outputs simultaneously — a goal wins it, a Reyna→Pepi assist wins it too. He had an assist in the Paraguay game as well. Check FD for their equivalent "to score or assist" price (~+160 at DK). $10→~$26 at equivalent price.

⚽ Ricardo Pepi — All Props

PSV Eindhoven · ST · Confirmed starter · 13 goals in 39 USMNT caps · 27 goals in 2 PSV seasons · 16 starts = 16 goals

CBS Sports primary. Sportscasting: "Ricardo Pepi at +185 is the prop that our model has flagged as among the strongest value bets on this slate." Oddschecker: "He turned 16 starts into 16 goals at PSV, showcasing the clinical finishing ability that has made him one of the most dangerous young strikers in the U.S. pool." FOX: "This week he could be the primary target up top and maybe score his first World Cup goal." Full 90 mins as lone striker. $10→$26.50.

Pepi +165 — CBS primary. 16 starts = 16 PSV goals. Confirmed lone ST. Full game expected. $10→$26.50.

CBS dedicated Pepi prop article: "Pepi has been more of a finisher than a creator with PSV, but with Team USA, he's proven to have no objections to being a facilitator. He had two assists in an international friendly in 2026, and multiple assists in two of his three PSV seasons. Although this bet is still more likely to come via a goal, it's nice to have the safety net of an assist cashing as well." Check FD for live price — safer version of the anytime, covering both outputs. If he sets up Reyna instead of scoring himself, you still win.

With Balogun AND Pulisic both absent, Pepi is the sole striker with no competition for goals. Turkey have conceded 3 goals in 2 games. At PSV his 27 goals came in bunches — multiple-goal games aren't unusual. $5 stake only ($5→$45). Only back after placing the anytime.

Reyna creating on the right → Pepi finishing centrally is naturally correlated. Check FD's Same Game Parlay builder for the combined price (expected ~+400-500 after FD correlation adjustment). $5-10 stake. Both singles are strong standalone plays regardless.