Phillies vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 8:13 a.m.

In MLB action on Friday, the Philadelphia Phillies take on the San Diego Padres.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Phillies vs Padres Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (54-39) vs. San Diego Padres (50-43)
• Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs Padres Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-162) | SD: (+136)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+105) | SD: +1.5 (-126)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

Phillies vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Ranger Suarez (Phillies) - 7-2, 1.99 ERA vs Ryan Bergert (Padres) - 1-0, 2.67 ERA

The Phillies will give the nod to Ranger Suarez (7-2) against the Padres and Ryan Bergert (1-0). When Suarez starts, his team is 8-3-0 against the spread this season. When Suarez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-3. The Padres are 4-1-0 ATS in Bergert's five starts with a set spread. The Padres have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Bergert's starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.

Phillies vs Padres Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (52.2%)

Phillies vs Padres Moneyline

• San Diego is a +136 underdog on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is a -162 favorite on the road.

Phillies vs Padres Spread

• The Phillies are at the Padres and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Phillies are +105 to cover the runline, with the Padres being -126.

Phillies vs Padres Over/Under

• A combined run total of 8 has been set for Phillies-Padres on July 11, with the over at -112 and the under at -108.

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Phillies vs Padres Betting Trends

• The Phillies have come away with 46 wins in the 69 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Philadelphia has been victorious 27 times in 34 chances when named as a favorite of at least -162 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Phillies have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 34 of 88 chances this season.
• The Phillies have posted a record of 46-42-0 against the spread this season.
• The Padres have won 19 of the 42 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (45.2%).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer, San Diego has gone 4-6 (40%).
• The Padres have combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times this season for a 38-51-3 record against the over/under.
• The Padres have a 48-44-0 record ATS this season (covering 52.2% of the time).

Phillies Player Leaders

• Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia with 86 hits and an OBP of .383 this season. He has a .253 batting average and a slugging percentage of .553.
• Among qualifying hitters in the majors, he is 96th in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging.
• Schwarber hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .289 with three doubles, four home runs, five walks and 11 RBIs.
• Trea Turner has an OPS of .783, fueled by an OBP of .344 and a team-best slugging percentage of .439 this season. He's batting .294.
• He is 14th in batting average, 56th in on-base percentage and 70th in slugging in MLB.
• Nick Castellanos has 97 hits this season and has a slash line of .276/.317/.439.
• Castellanos has logged a hit or more in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with an RBI.
• Alec Bohm has eight home runs, 42 RBI and a batting average of .282 this season.
• Bohm has safely hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a home run, four walks and three RBIs.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado has accumulated a slugging percentage of .487 and has 104 hits, both team-best numbers for the Padres. He's batting .291 and with an on-base percentage of .351.
• Including all the qualified hitters in MLB, he ranks 17th in batting average, 44th in on-base percentage and 30th in slugging percentage.
• Fernando Tatis Jr.'s .358 OBP leads his team. He has a batting average of .262 while slugging .450.
• He is 71st in batting average, 34th in on-base percentage and 63rd in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
• Luis Arraez is batting .285 with 17 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Gavin Sheets has 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .269.

Phillies vs Padres Head to Head

• 7/2/2025: 5-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 7/2/2025: 6-4 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/30/2025: 4-0 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -250, Underdog Moneyline: +205)
• 6/19/2024: 5-2 SD (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 6/18/2024: 4-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
• 6/17/2024: 9-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 4/28/2024: 8-6 PHI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 4/27/2024: 5-1 PHI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 4/26/2024: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 9/6/2023: 5-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)

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