Yankees vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 6

Odds updated as of 7:11 a.m.
The Sunday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the New York Yankees and the New York Mets.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Yankees vs Mets Game Info
- New York Yankees (48-41) vs. New York Mets (52-38)
- Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
- Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
- Coverage: SNY
Yankees vs Mets Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYY: (-225) | NYM: (+188)
- Spread: NYY: -1.5 (-130) | NYM: +1.5 (+108)
- Total: 9 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
Yankees vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Max Fried (Yankees) - 10-2, 2.13 ERA vs Chris Devenski (Mets) - 0-0, 3.38 ERA
The probable pitchers are Max Fried (10-2) for the Yankees and Chris Devenski for the Mets. When Fried starts, his team is 11-7-0 against the spread this season. Fried's team has won 72.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (13-5). Devenski's team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.
Yankees vs Mets Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (58%)
Yankees vs Mets Moneyline
- The Yankees vs Mets moneyline has the Yankees as a -225 favorite, while the Mets are a +188 underdog at home.
Yankees vs Mets Spread
- The Yankees are 1.5-run favorites on the runline against the Mets. The Yankees are -130 to cover, while the Mets are +108 to cover.
Yankees vs Mets Over/Under
- The over/under for the Yankees versus Mets contest on July 6 has been set at 9, with -105 odds on the over and -115 odds on the under.
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Yankees vs Mets Betting Trends
- The Yankees have been chosen as favorites in 78 games this year and have walked away with the win 45 times (57.7%) in those games.
- This season, the Yankees have come away with a win seven times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -225 or shorter on the moneyline.
- The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 88 games with a total this season.
- The Yankees have posted a record of 38-50-0 against the spread this season.
- The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline 26 total times this season. They've gone 11-15 in those games.
- The Mets have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +188 or longer.
- The Mets have combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 38 times this season for a 38-46-2 record against the over/under.
- The Mets have a 44-42-0 record ATS this season.
Yankees Player Leaders
- Aaron Judge leads New York in OBP (.471), slugging percentage (.731) and total hits (118) this season. He has a .361 batting average.
- Among all qualified batters in baseball, he ranks first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
- Cody Bellinger is hitting .268 with 16 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks, while slugging .463 with an on-base percentage of .326.
- He ranks 60th in batting average, 79th in on-base percentage and 51st in slugging among qualifying hitters.
- Bellinger heads into this game looking to extend his 11-game hit streak. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .311 with two doubles, three home runs, a walk and nine RBIs.
- Paul Goldschmidt is batting .282 with a .425 slugging percentage and 32 RBI this year.
- Anthony Volpe is batting .222 with a .300 OBP and 47 RBI for New York this season.
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto a has .401 on-base percentage to pace the Mets. He's batting .267 while slugging .514.
- Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, he is 65th in batting average, third in on-base percentage and 19th in slugging percentage.
- Soto hopes to build on a four-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBIs.
- Pete Alonso has 98 hits while slugging .547. Both are team-highs. He has a batting average of .290 with an on-base percentage of .382.
- Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 23rd in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and 11th in slugging percentage.
- Francisco Lindor is hitting .261 with 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 31 walks.
- Brandon Nimmo is batting .257 with 16 doubles, 18 home runs and 25 walks.
Yankees vs Mets Head to Head
- 7/5/2025: 12-6 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 7/4/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 5/18/2025: 8-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
- 5/17/2025: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 5/16/2025: 6-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 7/24/2024: 12-3 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
- 7/23/2024: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
- 6/26/2024: 12-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 6/25/2024: 9-7 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 7/26/2023: 3-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
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