WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Friday 6/28/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Atlanta Dream at Connecticut Sun

Sun -10 (-110)

Tyasha Harris 2+ Made Threes (-114)

This will be Connecticut's second game in as many days after narrowly escaping with an overtime win against the Mystics last night.

Still, this isn't somewhere I'm looking to fade the Sun, even on short rest.

For the season, Connecticut is 8-1 with a +12.4 net rating at home. Visitors are averaging just 70.2 points per game at Mohegan Sun Arena.

The Sun brought that defense with them in their lone previous meeting with the Dream. Earlier this month, Connecticut stomped the Dream by 19 points in Atlanta, holding them to 50 points in the process.

That's been a recurring theme for the Dream. Atlanta has the W's worst offensive rating and is averaging a league-low 75.9 points per game.

To make matters worse, leading scorer Rhyne Howard suffered a recent injury and has missed the last two games. In those two games, Atlanta scored 79 and 75 points. Howard is out tonight.

Guard Jordin Canada did just make her season debut, but she played only 14 minutes. She's one of the W's premier defenders, but I'm skeptical she'll be able to replace Howard's scoring. Canada has averaged double-digit points only once in six seasons.

If you can't score against the Sun, you don't have a great shot at keeping things close. They're 9-1 with a +10.6 average point differential when allowing 75 points or fewer.

It's just a rough spot for the Dream, and they'll face an uphill battle even reaching their 70 implied team total. Look for the Sun to roll here.

Props-wise, we can look for Sun guard Tyasha Harris to nail at least two threes at -114 odds. Harris is averaging 1.6 threes per game while shooting 39.4% from deep. She is a career 41.4% three-point shooter.

The Dream have surrendered the second-most three-point attempts per game. In Connecticut's 10 games against teams in the bottom half in three-point attempts allowed, Harris has averaged 1.9 made threes on 4.8 attempts per game.

She's hit this mark in nine of 17 games overall and in four of her last six.

I would play these lines separately, but they correlate well enough that a Same Game Parlay would be worth considering. As of Friday afternoon, pairing Sun -10 and Tyasha Harris 2+ Made Threes nets +196 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Los Angeles Sparks at Phoenix Mercury

Mercury -10 (-114)

At home, the Mercury are 6-2 straight up and against the spread. In six total games since Brittney Griner's return, Phoenix is 5-1 against the spread.

Simply put, they've been a completely different team since Griner's return. Their net rating over that span (+0.2) isn't great, but that has more to do with the quality of their opponents than subpar play. In the last six games, Phoenix has faced New York (first in net rating), Seattle (fourth), Vegas (fifth), and Dallas (10th), and they've faced Minnesota (second) twice.

Consequently, they should have a much easier go tonight. The Sparks are tied for the W's second-worst record (4-13), and they recently lost center Cameron Brink to a season-ending injury. While 6'7" center Li Yueru has started in her place, the Sparks have allowed a less-than-ideal 106.6 points per 100 possessions with her on the floor this season.

On top of that, the Sparks are just 1-9 with a league-worst -12.5 net rating on the road.

Among those losses was their lone prior meeting with Phoenix. The Mercury crushed them, 87-68, earlier this month despite Griner having not yet made her season debut.

With Griner back, the Mercury are clearly trending up. On the flip side, the Sparks continue to profile as one of the W's basement-dwellers. Look for Phoenix to make short work of LA and cover this 10-point spread.

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Looking for more WNBA betting opportunities? Check out the WNBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.