WNBA Best Bets and Player Props for Wednesday 7/17/24

The WNBA season is rolling along, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Atlanta Dream at Minnesota Lynx

Over 151.0 (-110)

The Minnesota Lynx (16-8) come in as 8.5-point favorites against the lowly Atlanta Dream (7-16) for Wednesday afternoon's game.

While I'd love to bully Atlanta in this spot, Napheesa Collier (20.0 points and 10.2 rebounds per game) has missed four straight games for Minnesota and will likely sit out for the final game before the All-Star break.

The Lynx are 2-2 without Collier and have a -4.2 net rating (fifth-worst) in her absence. Asking a Collier-less Minnesota team to cover an 8.5-point spread may be too tall of a task.

Instead, let's hone in on the over, which is set at a modest 151.0 points.

Atlanta ranks 9th in pace while Minnesota ranks 11th, so it's no wonder why we have such a low game total in store. However, the Dream have been playing at the third-fastest pace across their last five games and rank fifth in pace since Rhyne Howard was sidelined with an ankle injury.

The Dream are running faster as of late and have a poor defense, one that surrenders 23.9 three-point attempts (fourth-most) per game. Minnesota ranks second in three-point makes per game.

With their leading scorer in Collier gone, we should see even more threes go up. Collier averages just 0.9 made threes per game while sharpshooting starters such as Kayla McBride (42.4% 3P%), Bridget Carleton (45.1% 3P%), and Alanna Smith (43.4% 3P%) see plenty of looks from behind the arc.

Minnesota could have a field day from downtown, and their defense isn't nearly as tight without Collier, who leads the league in defensive win shares.

The Lynx are letting up just 74.9 points (second-fewest) this season but have ceded a whopping average of 86.0 points in their last two contests sans Collier, so this game seems primed to tilt toward the over.

Indiana Fever at Dallas Wings

Fever -4.0 (-110)

Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever (11-4) have been rolling.

The Fever have gone 8-4 in the last month of play and own a +2.5 net rating (fifth-best in WNBA) in that span.

Indiana holds a 7-2 record against teams that fare in the bottom half of net rating and are winning games by an average of 6.7 points in this split. They also tout a +36 point differential against these opponents.

The Fever are crushing bottom-of-the-barrel foes, and they've yet to even face the worst team of all: the Dallas Wings (5-19).

Dallas has dropped an appalling 17 of their last 19 games and struggle with a -10.4 net rating (worst). That net rating has plummeted to -15.3 in the 11 games since Maddy Siegrist was sidelined with a broken finger. Siegrist was leading the team in net rating and defensive win shares.

The Wings give up the most points and assists per 36 minutes to opposing guards. That's awesome news for Clark and Indiana. While Clark hasn't been the most efficient scorer as a pro, she's not as reliant on three-pointers as she was at the start of the year, which has brought newfound scoring success. More importantly, Clark has put her playmaking abilities on display, leading the WNBA with 7.8 assists per game.

Indiana has a clear edge in this matchup and plenty of momentum after coming out on top against both the New York Liberty (20-4) and the Minnesota Lynx (16-8) in the past 10 days. With 18 out of 19 of Dallas' losses dropped by five points or more, I'll tap the Fever to head into the All-Star break with their heads held high.

Aliyah Boston Over 15.5 Points (-114)

As mentioned, Indiana has gone 8-4 across their last 12 games. While Clark has played a huge role in this success, Aliyah Boston has shouldered a similar share of the load.

Boston has scored over 15.5 points in 9 out of 12 games during this span, averaging a shining 17.0 points per game.

She will now get a go at the third-fastest team in the league. The Wings have allowed a mind-boggling 93.5 points per game in the 11 contests since they lost their best defender in Siegrist.

Dallas also cedes the most paint points and the third-most free-throw attempts per game, which is where Boston nets a combined 90.0% of her points.

While I think Clark has the matchup for a huge game, as well, her points prop is set at an awfully high 20.5 points, and we're getting -128 odds on the over for her 9.5 assists prop. Backing Boston in the scoring column seems to bring us the best value, and Dallas' defense should allow the Clark-to-Boston connection to flourish.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.