Thunder vs. Spurs Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 26

Thunder vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The San Antonio Spurs are 5.5-point underdogs for Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The series is tied 2-2. The point total in the matchup is set at 215.5.

Thunder vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (64.8%)

Thunder vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread in a matchup 39 times this season (39-42-1).
• The Spurs have 43 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 45 times this season.
• The Spurs have hit the over 43.9% of the time this year (36 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread in away games (20-19-1) than it has in home games (19-23-0).
• Looking at point totals, the Thunder hit the over less consistently in home games, as they've gone over the total 22 times in 42 opportunities this season (52.4%). In away games, they have hit the over 23 times in 40 opportunities (57.5%).
• This season, San Antonio is 19-17-3 at home against the spread (.475 winning percentage). On the road, it is 24-17-1 ATS (.571).
• Looking at the over/under, Spurs games have gone over 18 of 40 times at home (45%), and 18 of 42 on the road (42.9%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.1 points, 4.3 boards and 6.6 assists, shooting 55.3% from the field and 38.6% from downtown, with 1.7 made treys per contest.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.1 points, 8.9 boards and 1.7 assists.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 9.2 points, 9.4 boards and 3.5 assists.
• Isaiah Joe averages 11.1 points, 2.5 boards and 1.3 assists, shooting 45.5% from the floor and 42.3% from downtown (10th in NBA), with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama is averaging 25 points, 11.5 boards and 3.1 assists for the Spurs.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 18.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists. He is also draining 48.6% of his shots from the field and 33.2% from 3-point range, with 1.8 triples per game.
• Per game, Stephon Castle provides the Spurs 16.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Per game, Keldon Johnson gets the Spurs 13.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• The Spurs get 11.1 points per game from Julian Champagnie, plus 5.8 boards and 1.5 assists.

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