Thunder vs. Nuggets Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 13

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 13, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: TNT, MAX, and truTV

The Denver Nuggets are big 10.5-point underdogs in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Tuesday, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, MAX, and truTV. The series is tied 2-2. The matchup has a point total of 221.5.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (74.7%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder have registered a 54-26-2 record against the spread this season.
• In the Nuggets' 82 games this season, they have 38 wins against the spread.
• This season, 44 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total.
• Nuggets games this season have hit the over on 49 of 82 set point totals (59.8%).
• In home games, Oklahoma City sports a better record against the spread (29-12-1) compared to its ATS record on the road (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have gone over the over/under in 25 of 42 home games (59.5%), compared to 19 of 40 road games (47.5%).
• Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-23-0). On the road, it is .488 (20-20-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Nuggets games have gone over 26 of 41 times at home (63.4%), and 23 of 41 away (56.1%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists, shooting 51.9% from the field and 37.5% from downtown, with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Jalen Williams averages 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists, shooting 48.4% from the field and 36.5% from downtown, with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made 3-pointers.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 29.6 points for the Nuggets, plus 12.7 boards and 10.2 assists.
• Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 21.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists per game. He is sinking 47.4% of his shots from the field and 39.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.3 triples.
• The Nuggets receive 18.2 points per game from Michael Porter Jr., plus 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists.
• Per game, Christian Braun provides the Nuggets 15.4 points, 5.2 boards and 2.6 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• The Nuggets receive 13.3 points per game from Russell Westbrook, plus 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists.

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