Gyökeres is the unanimous expert pick and Fox Sports confirms the +170 price on FanDuel. WhoScored's model gives him a 43% anytime goalscorer probability and a projected 0.57 goals — both the highest of any player in this match. JuveFc recommend him specifically: "Viktor Gyokeres to Score Anytime — scored decisive goals in the play-offs, including the winner against Poland, and leads Sweden's attack as the focal forward." CBS Sports backs him directly: "Sweden's goalscoring output will depend heavily on Gyokeres — he scored 14 goals and won the Premier League with Arsenal."

Football Whispers add: "Gyokeres to score anytime at 31/20 (2.55) may be worth a punt." Covers describe the "fruitful partnership between Arsenal's Gyökeres and Liverpool's Isak." WhoScored projects him to register 1.34 shots on target — the most of any player in the match. Against a Tunisia defence that conceded 5 to Belgium and has won just once in 7 matches, +170 for Sweden's clinical focal forward with the highest modelled probability is the clearest first goalscorer pick of the entire opening weekend.

Isak tops the ESPN first goalscorer board at +475 — the highest-priced "confirmed starter" line on the table. Tips.GG gives him a 39.60% anytime probability, the second-highest of any player. WhoScored projects him to register 3.4 shots — the most of any player in the match, indicating he'll be Sweden's most active shot-creator even if the goals flow through Gyökeres.

JuveFc: "Isak, now at Liverpool, endured an injury-disrupted club campaign but has been in strong recent international scoring form." He proved his fitness by scoring in the Norway warm-up — a 76th-minute strike that was Sweden's only goal. At +180 anytime for a Liverpool striker who is fully recovered and has the second-highest projected goal probability in the match, this is the best-value pick for those who find +170 on Gyökeres too short. If Gyökeres draws the defence, Isak is the finisher who exploits the space.

SportsgGambler make the explicit case for Elanga: "Anthony Elanga has registered two goals in his past six games. We'll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +300 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet." Note the +300 price they referenced has moved to +425 on ESPN's board — making the value even stronger if anything. Both Oddschecker and WhoScored confirm him as a starting left winger in Potter's 4-3-3. His Newcastle profile — direct, pacey, arriving into the box from wide — is specifically the counter-attacking threat that can punish Tunisia's defensive line if they push up. He also scored a goal in Sweden's play-off win against Poland that sent them to this World Cup. When Gyökeres and Isak drag Tunisia's centre-backs, Elanga is the player arriving late into the space on the left. At +425 anytime (+1100 first scorer), the pricing significantly undervalues a starting attacker with 2 goals in 6 Sweden appearances.

Fox Sports confirmed +170. WhoScored 43% probability — highest of any player. 0.57 projected goals, 1.34 projected shots on target. JuveFc, CBS Sports, Covers, Football Whispers all back him. Arsenal PL winner who scored decisive play-off goals. Facing a Tunisia side that conceded 5 to Belgium and has won once in 7 matches.