Super Bowl Betting: Game Props to Target

3mo

The 2023-24 NFL season is set to conclude with a highly anticipated Super Bowl matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers. In the lead up to the big game, there are plenty of interesting betting markets to scan through, including game props.

Game props are typically wagers you can place on certain events to happen, and they tend to pertain to the teams involved in the contest. For instance, within FanDuel Sportsbook's game props tab, there is a game prop on whether the Chiefs or the 49ers will score on their first offensive play of the game.

With that in mind, let's take a look at a few game props to target in this year's Super Bowl between the Chiefs and 49ers.

Super Bowl Betting: Game Props

What Will Happen First for Kansas City Chiefs? Score Points (-110)

In this market, the two options are KC to score points (-110) or to punt (-112).

The Chiefs are currently on an impressive streak when it comes to producing points on their first offensive drive of the game in the playoffs. Following a 19-yard touchdown pass from Patrick Mahomes to Travis Kelce in the Conference Championship Round on Kansas City's first drive of that contest, the Chiefs have now scored points on eight consecutive opening drives in the postseason.

Even with the Chiefs lacking a deep group of weapons, Mahomes has mastered the ability to move the ball methodically down the field without making many game-changing mistakes. Kansas City coach Andy Reid is also one of the elite play callers in the NFL -- especially when it comes to the first 15 to 20 plays of a game.

The Chiefs haven't punted on their first drive of a postseason contest since the Wild Card Round of the 2021-2022 campaign.

Aside from the Chiefs excelling at scoring on their first offensive drive in the playoffs, the 49ers have also allowed both opponents this postseason to produce points on their opening drives.

Team With Most Offensive Plays in Game: Chiefs (-102)

When the Chiefs and 49ers square off on Sunday, we'll see two teams who operate a bit differently on the offensive side of the ball. The Chiefs -- largely due to a limited skill group -- tend to have long, methodical drives where Mahomes takes what defenses are giving him.

Kansas City has also leaned on Isiah Pacheco more down the stretch, which could come in handy against San Francisco's defense that owns the third-worst rushing success rate (55.9%), via NextGenStats. Throughout the regular season and the playoffs, the Chiefs are averaging the 14th-most offensive plays per game (63.8).

On the other side of the field, the 49ers tend to seek out explosive plays with a dynamic batch of skill players for Brock Purdy to target. San Francisco's offense averages the seventh-fewest plays per game (60.7) as it tallies a league-best 6.5 yards per play, making it more likely that Kansas City runs the most plays on offense.

Will There Be a Successful 2-Point Conversion Attempt? Yes (+270)

Sometimes, you have to throw out certain stats when it comes to specific events happening in a Super Bowl. Neither the Chiefs nor the 49ers are teams that typically elect to go for two after scoring a touchdown, but that could change in a high-pressure setting in Las Vegas this Sunday.

Kyle Shanahan and Andy Reid are both aggressive play callers who are fantastic at drawing up plays in the red zone. While two-point conversions are tough to predict, there has been a two-point try in each of the last two Super Bowls, only one of which was successful -- the Philadelphia Eagles had a successful two-point conversion against the Chiefs in last year's Super Bowl.

On top of that, the 49ers have an unreliable kicker in Jake Moody, who has missed three field goals and an extra-point try across his last three games. With Moody struggling and the Chiefs leaning on Mahomes, I'll take a chance on there being a successful two-point conversion attempt in this year's Super Bowl.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.