Spurs vs. Thunder Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 24

Spurs vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder bring a 1-2 lead into Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. The Spurs are favored by 1.5 points in the matchup, which airs on NBC/Peacock at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup has a point total of 219.5.

Spurs vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (56.2%)

Spurs vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Spurs have registered a 43-34-4 record against the spread this season.
• In the Thunder's 82 games this year, they have 39 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Spurs have hit the over 36 times this season.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over on 45 of 82 set point totals (54.9%).
• Against the spread, San Antonio has performed worse at home, covering 19 times in 40 home games, and 24 times in 42 road games.
• The Spurs have exceeded the total more often when playing at home, hitting the over in 18 of 40 home matchups (45%). In away games, they have hit the over in 18 of 42 games (42.9%).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has had better results away (20-19-1) than at home (19-23-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Thunder's games have finished above the over/under at home (52.4%, 22 of 42) than on the road (57.5%, 23 of 40).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 25 points, 11.5 boards and 3.1 assists.
• De'Aaron Fox is averaging 18.6 points, 6.2 assists and 3.8 rebounds.
• Stephon Castle is averaging 16.6 points, 7.4 assists and 5.3 rebounds.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.2 points, 1.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds.
• Julian Champagnie's numbers on the season are 11.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 43.7% from the floor and 38.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.4 made 3-pointers.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.1 points for the Thunder, plus 4.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists.
• The Thunder are receiving 17.1 points, 8.9 boards and 1.7 assists per game from Chet Holmgren.
• The Thunder get 8.6 points per game from Cason Wallace, plus 3.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
• The Thunder are receiving 13.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game from Ajay Mitchell.
• Per game, Isaiah Hartenstein provides the Thunder 9.2 points, 9.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists, plus 1 steal and 0.8 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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