SMU vs Florida State Prediction - 5 College Football Best Bets and Player Props Tonight

College Football Betting Picks & Player Props in Summary
- SMU -2.5
- Over 54.5
- SMU Over 406.5 Total Yards
- Kevin Jennings 275+ Passing Yards
- Duce Robinson 40+ Receiving Yards
SMU travels to Florida State Monday night to close out the college football week in a genuinely competitive matchup — a modest 2.5-point spread with one of the higher totals of the entire slate.
All college football odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook's college football betting odds and may change after this article is published.
College Football Predictions and Picks
SMU at Florida State (Mon, 7:30 p.m. ET)
SMU -2.5 (-115)
Spread
SMU's own projected yardage output (406.5) sits ahead of Florida State's (391.5), and Kevin Jennings carries a real 65-yard passing edge over Ashton Daniels — a modest but real advantage that lines up with the road favorite number.
Over 54.5 (-110)
Total
Both offenses carry real, sizable yardage projections — a combined 798 yards between the two team totals — pointing toward a genuine back-and-forth scoring game to close out the week.
SMU Over 406.5 Total Yards (-114)
Total Yards
SMU's rushing attack alone is projected for 121.5 yards, meaning the passing game only needs to add another 285 or so to clear this number — a reasonable ask behind Kevin Jennings.
Best Player Props
Kevin Jennings 275+ Passing Yards (+100)
Passing Yards
Jennings's own line (267.5) already sits well ahead of Florida State counterpart Ashton Daniels (202.5), and a plus-money price on clearing 275 is fair value for a quarterback the market clearly expects to throw often tonight.
Duce Robinson 40+ Receiving Yards (-390)
Receiving Yards
Robinson is priced as Florida State's clear top target by a wide margin over the rest of the receiving corps, and with Daniels needing to keep pace on the scoreboard, this looks like a genuinely reachable number.
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