Rockets vs. Warriors NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 4

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Toyota Center -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage:

The Golden State Warriors are slight 2.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 7 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on Sunday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on Houston Rockets. The series is tied 3-3. The matchup has an over/under of 203.5.

Rockets vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rockets win (63.1%)

Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Rockets have covered the spread 43 times over 82 games with a set spread.
• The Warriors are 41-38-3 against the spread this year.
• Rockets games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 45 times this season.
• Warriors games this season have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals (50%).
• Houston has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (22-19-0) than it has at home (21-19-1).
• The Rockets have gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (48.8%) than road tilts (61%).
• Golden State has been better against the spread away (23-16-2) than at home (18-22-1) this season.
• Looking at the over/under, Warriors games have gone over less frequently at home (20 of 41, 48.8%) than on the road (21 of 41, 51.2%).

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun averages 19.1 points, 10.3 boards and 4.9 assists.
• Jalen Green is averaging 21 points, 3.4 assists and 4.6 boards.
• Amen Thompson averages 14.1 points, 8.2 boards and 3.8 assists, shooting 55.7% from the floor.
• Fred VanVleet is averaging 14.1 points, 3.7 boards and 5.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Dillon Brooks is averaging 14 points, 1.7 assists and 3.7 rebounds.

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry averages 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists. He is also draining 44.8% of his shots from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 4.4 triples per contest (first in NBA).
• The Warriors are receiving 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game from Jimmy Butler.
• Per game, Draymond Green gets the Warriors 9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists, plus 1.5 steals (ninth in NBA) and 1 block.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 11.7 points, 5.1 boards and 3.4 assists. He is making 44.5% of his shots from the floor and 37.2% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
• Per game, Buddy Hield gives the Warriors 11.1 points, 3.2 boards and 1.6 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.

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