Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 7

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.

In MLB action on Thursday, the Boston Red Sox face the Tampa Bay Rays.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Red Sox vs Rays Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (16-21) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (24-12)
• Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: ESPN

Red Sox vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-120) | TB: (+102)
• Spread: BOS: +1.5 (-205) | TB: -1.5 (+168)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Red Sox vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jake Bennett (Red Sox) - 1-0, 1.80 ERA vs Griffin Jax (Rays) - 1-2, 5.14 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Jake Bennett (1-0) to the mound, while Griffin Jax (1-2) will get the nod for the Rays. Bennett helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter. Bennett's team won his only start as a favorite this season. Jax has started two games with set spreads, and the Rays covered in both chances. The Rays were the underdog on the moneyline for one Jax start this season -- they won.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (50.7%)

Red Sox vs Rays Moneyline

• The Red Sox vs Rays moneyline has Boston as a -120 favorite, while Tampa Bay is a +102 underdog on the road.

Red Sox vs Rays Spread

• The Rays are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Red Sox. The Rays are +168 to cover, while the Red Sox are -205 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under

• The Red Sox-Rays game on May 7 has been given an over/under of 8.5 runs. The over is set at -105 and the under at -115.

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Red Sox vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 11, or 45.8%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Boston has a record of 9-13 when favored by -120 or more this year.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 18 of their 37 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Red Sox are 13-24-0 against the spread in their 37 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Rays have gone 9-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 60% of those games).
• Tampa Bay is 6-3 (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
• The Rays have played in 35 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-17-0).
• The Rays have a 22-13-0 record against the spread this season (covering 62.9% of the time).

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu has an OPS of .848, fueled by an OBP of .381 to go with a slugging percentage of .467. He has a .299 batting average, as well.
• Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 26th, his on-base percentage ranks 25th, and he is 46th in slugging.
• Willson Contreras has 34 hits, which leads Boston batters this season. He's batting .264 with 12 extra-base hits. He's also slugging .481 with an on-base percentage of .376.
• Among qualifying hitters, his batting average ranks him 63rd, his on-base percentage 33rd, and his slugging percentage 38th.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 32 hits this season and has a slash line of .271/.344/.390.
• Jarren Duran has been key for Boston with 24 hits, an OBP of .255 plus a slugging percentage of .325.

Rays Player Leaders

• Yandy Diaz has put up a team-high .401 on-base percentage. He's batting .318 and slugging .473.
• Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 15th in batting average, while his on-base percentage is 12th and he is 42nd in slugging.
• Jonathan Aranda's 35 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .273 while slugging .477 with an on-base percentage of .377.
• Including all qualifying players, he ranks 50th in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage and 39th in slugging percentage.
• Junior Caminero has three doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks while batting .252.
• Chandler Simpson paces his team with a .338 slugging percentage.

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