Marlins vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 7

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.
The Miami Marlins will face the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action on Thursday.
We've got you covered, in terms of the vital information regarding this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Marlins vs Orioles Game Info
- Miami Marlins (16-21) vs. Baltimore Orioles (17-20)
- Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
- Coverage: Marlins.TV and MASN
Marlins vs Orioles Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: MIA: (-118) | BAL: (+100)
- Spread: MIA: +1.5 (-200) | BAL: -1.5 (+164)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
Marlins vs Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Max Meyer (Marlins) - 2-0, 2.68 ERA vs Cade Povich (Orioles) - 1-1, 4.41 ERA
The probable starters are Max Meyer (2-0) for the Marlins and Cade Povich (1-1) for the Orioles. Meyer's team is 4-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Meyer has started four games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them. Povich has started two games with set spreads, and the Orioles went 1-1-0. The Orioles were the moneyline underdog for one Povich start this season -- they lost.
Marlins vs Orioles Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marlins win (62.7%)
Marlins vs Orioles Moneyline
- Baltimore is a +100 underdog on the moneyline, while Miami is a -118 favorite at home.
Marlins vs Orioles Spread
- The Orioles are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Marlins. The Orioles are +164 to cover, while the Marlins are -200 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.
Marlins vs Orioles Over/Under
- A combined run total of 8.5 has been set for Marlins-Orioles on May 7, with the over at -105 and the under at -115.
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Marlins vs Orioles Betting Trends
- The Marlins have been victorious in 12, or 60%, of the 20 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- Miami has a record of 10-5 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -118 or more on the moneyline.
- The Marlins' games have gone over the total in 21 of their 36 opportunities.
- In 36 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 16-20-0 against the spread.
- The Orioles have compiled a 5-11 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.2% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +100 or longer, Baltimore has gone 5-9 (35.7%).
- The Orioles have combined with opponents to go over the total 26 times this season for a 26-11-0 record against the over/under.
- The Orioles have gone 16-21-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Player Leaders
- Liam Hicks has 35 hits, which is best among Miami hitters this season, while batting .321 with 11 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .376 and a slugging percentage of .569.
- Among all qualifying hitters, he is 12th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 33rd, and he is ninth in slugging.
- Hicks hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a home run, three walks and four RBIs.
- Xavier Edwards leads Miami with an OBP of .414 this season while batting .324 with 21 walks and 24 runs scored. He's slugging .449.
- Among all qualifying hitters, he is eighth in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage and 54th in slugging percentage.
- Otto Lopez has hit four homers with a team-high .510 SLG this season.
- Lopez brings a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .357 with four doubles, a home run and four RBIs.
- Jakob Marsee has been key for Miami with 25 hits, an OBP of .294 plus a slugging percentage of .259.
Orioles Player Leaders
- Taylor Ward has accumulated a team-best OBP (.434) and slugging percentage (.408). He's batting .285.
- Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, he is 37th in batting average, third in on-base percentage and 83rd in slugging percentage.
- Pete Alonso's 31 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .225 while slugging .449 with an on-base percentage of .331.
- Including all qualified players, he is 130th in batting average, 90th in on-base percentage and 54th in slugging percentage.
- Gunnar Henderson is hitting .201 with six doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 12 walks.
- Adley Rutschman is hitting .313 with eight doubles, four home runs and six walks.
Marlins vs Orioles Head to Head
- 5/6/2026: 7-4 BAL (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 5/5/2026: 9-7 BAL (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 7/12/2025: 6-0 MIA (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
- 7/11/2025: 5-2 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 7/25/2024: 7-6 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
- 7/24/2024: 6-3 MIA (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 7/23/2024: 6-3 MIA (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -174, Underdog Moneyline: +146)
- 7/16/2023: 5-4 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
- 7/15/2023: 6-5 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
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