Phillies vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

The Saturday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Kansas City Royals.

Here's everything you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Phillies vs Royals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (49-39) vs. Kansas City Royals (35-53)
• Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium -- Kansas City, Missouri
• Coverage: Royals.TV and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs Royals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-152) | KC: (+128)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+110) | KC: +1.5 (-132)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Phillies vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 6-4, 3.88 ERA vs Michael Wacha (Royals) - 5-5, 3.31 ERA

The Phillies will give the nod to Jesus Luzardo (6-4) versus the Royals and Michael Wacha (5-5). Luzardo and his team are 9-8-0 ATS this season when he starts. Luzardo's team has been victorious in 64.3% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-5. When Wacha starts, the Royals have gone 8-8-0 against the spread. The Royals have a 2-8 record in Wacha's 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Phillies vs Royals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (58.5%)

Phillies vs Royals Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Phillies vs. Royals reveal Philadelphia as the favorite (-152) and Kansas City as the underdog (+128) despite being the home team.

Phillies vs Royals Spread

• The Phillies are 1.5-run road favorites on the runline against the Royals. The Phillies are +110 to cover, and the Royals are -132.

Phillies vs Royals Over/Under

• The Phillies-Royals contest on July 4 has been given an over/under of 9 runs. The over is set at -110 and the under at -110.

Bet on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals on FanDuel today!

Phillies vs Royals Betting Trends

• The Phillies have won in 40, or 63.5%, of the 63 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Philadelphia has a record of 27-9 when favored by -152 or more this year.
• The Phillies' games have gone over the total in 39 of their 86 opportunities.
• The Phillies have posted a record of 32-54-0 against the spread this season.
• The Royals have won 35.8% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (19-34).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +128 or longer, Kansas City has a record of 3-5 (37.5%).
• The Royals have combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times this season for a 42-41-1 record against the over/under.
• The Royals have a 37-47-0 record ATS this season (covering 44% of the time).

Phillies Player Leaders

• Bryce Harper leads Philadelphia with an OBP of .374 this season while batting .274 with 53 walks and 56 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .532.
• Among all qualifying batters in MLB, he ranks 40th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Harper will look for his fifth straight game with a hit in this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and seven RBIs.
• Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia with 79 hits. He is batting .250 this season and has 40 extra-base hits. He's also slugging .570 with an on-base percentage of .365.
• He is 89th in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage and third in slugging among qualified hitters.
• Brandon Marsh has hit 15 homers with a team-high .523 SLG this season.
• Trea Turner has 10 home runs, 31 RBI and a batting average of .239 this season.
• Turner heads into this game on a five-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, three home runs and seven RBIs.

Royals Player Leaders

• Bobby Witt Jr. has racked up a team-best OBP (.362) and slugging percentage (.470). He's batting .290.
• He is 18th in batting average, 31st in on-base percentage and 42nd in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the big leagues.
• Carter Jensen has 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 27 walks while batting .251. He's slugging .452 with an on-base percentage of .314.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he is 83rd in batting average, 111th in on-base percentage and 58th in slugging percentage.
• Jac Caglianone is leading the Royals with 74 hits.
• Michael Massey is batting .256 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 10 walks.

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