Pacers vs. Cavaliers Eastern Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 11

Pacers vs. Cavaliers Game Info

• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse -- Indianapolis, Indiana
• Coverage: TNT, truTV, and MAX

The Indiana Pacers are 5-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, starting at 8 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Pacers have a 2-1 series lead. The point total is 231.5 in the matchup.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cavaliers win (55%)

Pacers vs. Cavaliers Betting Trends

• The Cavaliers have covered the spread 47 times in 82 games with a set spread.
• The Pacers have 37 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• This season, Cavaliers games have hit the over 50 times.
• The Pacers have gone over the point total 53.7% of the time this year (44 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Cleveland has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (24-16-1) than it has in home games (23-17-1).
• The Cavaliers have eclipsed the over/under in the same percentage of games at home as road tilts (61%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Indiana has a better winning percentage at home (.463, 19-21-1 record) than on the road (.439, 18-22-1).
• Pacers games have gone above the over/under 53.7% of the time both at home (22 of 41) and away (22 of 41) this year.

Cavaliers Leaders

• Donovan Mitchell averages 24 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5 assists.
• Evan Mobley is averaging 18.5 points, 9.3 boards and 3.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.6 blocked shots (fourth in league).
• Darius Garland's numbers on the season are 20.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game, shooting 47.2% from the floor and 40.1% from downtown, with an average of 2.8 made 3-pointers.
• Jarrett Allen is averaging 13.5 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists.
• De'Andre Hunter is averaging 17 points, 1.4 assists and 4 rebounds.

Pacers Leaders

• Tyrese Haliburton averages 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists. He is also draining 47.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.8% from beyond the arc, with 3 triples per game.
• The Pacers are receiving 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game from Pascal Siakam.
• The Pacers are receiving 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Myles Turner.
• The Pacers get 16.1 points per game from Bennedict Mathurin, plus 5.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists.
• T.J. McConnell averages 9.1 points, 2.4 boards and 4.4 assists. He is draining 51.9% of his shots from the floor.

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