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NHL Betting: Who Will Have the Worst Record This Season?

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez•@nickvaz

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NHL Betting: Who Will Have the Worst Record This Season?

Things are taking shape in the NHL through three weeks of the season. We know who some of the best teams are, and we know some of the worst.

The incentive to tank for a better chance to win the lottery is high this season with intriguing prospects Macklin Celebrini and Cole Eiserman waiting for the lucky team that gets a top-two pick.

There are some teams that have played poorly, but one stands above the rest. Here are the odds to finish with the worst record in the NHL, via FanDuel Sportsbook:

Team
Odds
San Jose Sharks-135
Anaheim Ducks+550
Chicago Blackhawks+600
Montreal Canadiens+950

San Jose Sharks

The San Jose Sharks finished last season with 60 points, two from dead last in the league.

They had already started their selling when they traded Timo Meier at the trade deadline. Things were expected to be bad when they traded Erik Karlsson in the summer, but it's hard to imagine anyone thought they could be this bad.

Through nine games, the Sharks are one of the worst teams we've seen in the salary cap era. They've lost all nine with only one of them being in the shootout. They've scored just 9 goals in nine games while allowing 35.

Things don't look much better in the advanced metrics. At five-on-five, they have controlled just 39.15% of the expected goals. That's nearly three percentage points worse than the second-worst team in this metric.

As bad as they have been, they are definitely in for some regression. They are shooting just 4.07% in all situations; no team has shot below 6.0% since 2007-08. They've also faced a tough schedule so far since five of their nine games have been against division winners from last season.

They will get Mikael Granlund back in the lineup soon -- and Logan Couture eventually. That alone will improve the Sharks, but it will be surprising if they can pull themselves out of the hole they've dug.

Anaheim Ducks

Also coming out of the Pacific Division, the Anaheim Ducks finished in last place last season and could do so again this year.

The Ducks are 5-4 through nine games this season. That's a fairly surprising record considering they were expected to be one of the worst teams in the NHL, and they especially caught our eye when they handed the Boston Bruins their first loss of the season.

Anaheim's main problem last season was not being able to keep the puck out of their net. They allowed over four goals per game as the first team in the salary cap era to do that. This year, they are at three goals allowed per game.

The Ducks were dead last in nearly every defensive metric last season, including allowing 3.89 expected goals per 60 minutes. It's early this season, but they've cut that down to 3.69 so far under new coach Greg Cronin.

Anaheim is nine points ahead of San Jose currently. They will play each other four times this season, which would give the Sharks a chance to catch up.

Chicago Blackhawks

The lucky winners of last season's lottery, the Chicago Blackhawks actually finished third from the bottom but were able to jump up two spots to get the coveted first overall pick.

Since they bottomed out in hopes of getting the number one pick, they have a distinct lack of talent on their roster. Connor Bedard has helped, but the team still has just six points in nine games.

There aren't any players left from the Cup days after Jonathan Toews was not re-signed in the offseason. They made some veteran acquisitions in Taylor Hall, Corey Perry and Nick Foligno, but they are all past their primes.

Last night's game against the Arizona Coyotes was perhaps the biggest point in favor of the Blackhawks finishing last. They got ran out of the building, losing 8-1. They allowed 4.47 expected goals to Arizona, who are by no means an offensive juggernaut.

Chicago's power play is the second-worst in the NHL, and they are averaging the third-fewest goals in the league. Even if Bedard is as advertised, they have been really struggling on offense.

The likes of Perry, Foligno and Tyler Johnson are all pending free agents, so Chicago could move them ahead of the trade deadline. That would make them even worse and give the Sharks a chance to pass them.

Montreal Canadiens

The Montreal Canadiens don't appear to belong on this list with how they've started the season. They have the ninth-best points percentage in the league and currently sit third in the Atlantic Division.

Montreal's underlying numbers don't look good so far. They've controlled just 47.83% of the expected goals at five-on-five this season. Kirby Dach suffered a torn ACL and is out for the season. He was slotted in to be their second-line center, so that is a big blow.

Some of Montreal's secondary forwards have stepped up in his absence. Sean Monahan, Tanner Pearson and Alex Newhook have been contributing. However, this is mostly driven by unsustainably high shooting percentages. Monahan is shooting 8.7 percentage points above his career average, Pearson 4.6, and Newhook 9.4.

The Canadiens are getting great goaltending from Jake Allen, who has saved 6.11 goals above expectation (GSAx) this season. Last season, he posted -2.0 GSAx, so his stellar play might not be sustainable.

Montreal isn't a great team, but with the points they've already banked, they probably are safe from finishing last in the NHL this season.


Looking for more NHL betting opportunities? Check out all of the NHL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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