Mets vs Phillies Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for NLDS Game 4 on Oct. 9

Odds updated as of 4:12 p.m.
On Wednesday in the MLB, the New York Mets are up against the Philadelphia Phillies for Game 4 of the NLDS.
All the info you need to make smart bets on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.
Mets vs Phillies Game Info
- New York Mets (89-73) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (95-67)
- Date: Wednesday, October 9, 2024
- Time: 5:08 p.m. ET
- Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
- Coverage: Fox Sports 1
Mets vs Phillies Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYM: (-118) | PHI: (-100)
- Spread: NYM: +1.5 (-205) | PHI: -1.5 (+168)
- Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)
Mets vs Phillies Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: José Quintana (Mets) - 10-10, 3.75 ERA vs Ranger Suárez (Phillies) - 12-8, 3.46 ERA
The probable pitchers are Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA) for the Mets and Ranger Suarez (12-8, 3.46 ERA) for the Phillies. When Quintana starts, his team is 16-14-0 against the spread this season. Quintana's team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-8). The Phillies have a 15-10-0 record against the spread in Suarez's starts. The Phillies have been the moneyline underdog in six of Suarez's starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
Mets vs Phillies Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (51%)
Mets vs Phillies Moneyline
- Philadelphia is the underdog, -100 on the moneyline, while New York is a -118 favorite at home.
Mets vs Phillies Spread
- The Phillies are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Mets. The Phillies are +168 to cover, while the Mets are -205 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.
Mets vs Phillies Over/Under
- The Mets-Phillies game on Oct. 9 has been given an over/under of 7.5 runs. The over is set at -114 and the under at -106.
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Mets vs Phillies Betting Trends
- The Mets have come away with 56 wins in the 94 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- This season New York has come away with a win 45 times in 75 chances when named as a favorite of at least -118 on the moneyline.
- The Mets and their opponents have gone over in 84 of their 163 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets have posted a record of 83-80-0 against the spread this season.
- The Phillies have won 15 of the 34 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (44.1%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -100 or longer, Philadelphia has a record of 8-12 (40%).
- The Phillies have played in 160 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 79 times (79-76-5).
- The Phillies have covered 45.6% of their games this season, going 73-87-0 against the spread.
Mets Player Leaders
- Francisco Lindor has 169 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .500, both of which are best among New York hitters this season. He has a .273 batting average and an on-base percentage of .344.
- Among all qualified hitters, he is 34th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 29th, and he is 17th in slugging.
- Lindor hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, five walks and two RBI.
- Pete Alonso is batting .240 with 31 doubles, 34 home runs and 70 walks. He's slugging .459 with an on-base percentage of .329.
- He ranks 102nd in batting average, 53rd in on-base percentage and 37th in slugging in the majors.
- Alonso has picked up a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with three home runs, three walks and six RBI.
- Brandon Nimmo has 128 hits this season and has a slash line of .224/.327/.399.
- Jesse Winker leads New York in OBP (.360) this season, fueled by 109 hits.
Phillies Player Leaders
- Bryce Harper has totaled 157 hits with a .373 on-base percentage and a .525 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Phillies. He's batting .285.
- He ranks 17th in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage and 12th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in the big leagues.
- Harper hopes to build on a four-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
- Kyle Schwarber has 22 doubles, 38 home runs and 106 walks while batting .248. He's slugging .485 with an on-base percentage of .366.
- Including all qualified hitters, he is 79th in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage and 21st in slugging percentage.
- Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .280.
- Trea Turner has 25 doubles, 21 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .295.
Mets vs Phillies Head to Head
- 10/8/2024: 7-2 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 10/6/2024: 7-6 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 10/5/2024: 6-2 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
- 9/22/2024: 2-1 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 9/21/2024: 6-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 9/20/2024: 12-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 9/19/2024: 10-6 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 9/15/2024: 2-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 9/14/2024: 6-4 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 9/13/2024: 11-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
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