Heat vs. Cavaliers NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 28

Heat vs. Cavaliers Game Info

• Date: Monday, April 28, 2025
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage:

The Miami Heat are 8.5-point underdogs for a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Kaseya Center on Monday, tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers are up 3-0 in the series. The matchup's point total is set at 210.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cavaliers win (61.5%)

Heat vs. Cavaliers Betting Trends

• The Cavaliers have put together a 47-33-2 record against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 38-41-3 this season.
• Games involving the Cavaliers have hit the over 50 times this season.
• Heat games this season have eclipsed the over/under 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).
• Against the spread, Cleveland has played worse at home, covering 23 times in 41 home games, and 24 times in 41 road games.
• The Cavaliers have gone over the total in the same percentage of games at home as road games (61%).
• Miami has been better against the spread at home (21-19-1) than away (17-22-2) this year.
• In terms of the over/under, Heat games have gone over 25 of 41 times at home (61%), and 19 of 41 on the road (46.3%).

Cavaliers Leaders

• Donovan Mitchell averages 24 points, 4.5 boards and 5 assists, shooting 44.3% from the floor and 36.8% from beyond the arc, with 3.3 made treys per game (eighth in league).
• Evan Mobley averages 18.5 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists, shooting 55.7% from the field and 37% from downtown, with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Darius Garland is averaging 20.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 6.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Jarrett Allen averages 13.5 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists, shooting 70.6% from the field (first in league).
• De'Andre Hunter is averaging 17 points, 1.4 assists and 4 boards.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo averages 18.1 points for the Heat, plus 9.6 boards and 4.3 assists.
• Per game, Tyler Herro gives the Heat 23.9 points, 5.2 boards and 5.5 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins' numbers on the season are 18 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is making 44.8% of his shots from the floor and 37.4% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.2 treys.
• Per game, Kel'el Ware gives the Heat 9.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 1.1 blocks.
• Davion Mitchell's numbers on the season are 7.9 points, 2.3 boards and 4.9 assists per contest. He is making 46.8% of his shots from the floor and 39.8% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.1 treys.

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