Mets vs Cubs Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 10

Odds updated as of 4:14 a.m.

The MLB's Saturday slate includes the New York Mets facing the Chicago Cubs.

We've got you covered, in terms of the vital information about this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mets vs Cubs Game Info

• New York Mets (25-14) vs. Chicago Cubs (22-17)
• Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: FOX

Mets vs Cubs Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-158) | CHC: (+134)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+126) | CHC: +1.5 (-152)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Mets vs Cubs Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Tylor Megill (Mets) - 3-2, 2.50 ERA vs Brad Keller (Cubs) - 0-0, 3.78 ERA

The Mets will give the nod to Tylor Megill (3-2, 2.50 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Cubs will counter with Brad Keller. Megill and his team are 2-5-0 ATS this season when he starts. Megill's team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-3). Last season Keller's team did not cover in either of his two games pitched with a spread. Keller and his team never won a game he pitched when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago (in two opportunities).

Mets vs Cubs Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (64.1%)

Mets vs Cubs Moneyline

• Chicago is the underdog, +134 on the moneyline, while New York is a -158 favorite at home.

Mets vs Cubs Spread

• The Mets are hosting the Cubs and are favored by 1.5 runs (+126 to cover) on the runline. Chicago is -152 to cover.

Mets vs Cubs Over/Under

• Mets versus Cubs, on May 10, has an over/under of 8.5, with the over being -120 and the under -102.

Bet on New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs on FanDuel today!

Mets vs Cubs Betting Trends

• The Mets have been victorious in 19, or 70.4%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This year New York has won seven of 10 games when listed as at least -158 on the moneyline.
• The Mets' games have gone over the total in 15 of their 38 opportunities.
• The Mets are 20-18-0 against the spread in their 38 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Cubs have an 8-9 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.1% of those games).
• Chicago is 2-1 (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +134 or longer.
• The Cubs have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 37 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 24 of those games (24-12-1).
• The Cubs have a 19-18-0 record ATS this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Pete Alonso leads New York with 46 hits and an OBP of .443, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .627. He's batting .324.
• Among all qualifying hitters in baseball, his batting average ranks seventh, his on-base percentage ranks second, and he is third in slugging.
• Juan Soto is hitting .268 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 30 walks, while slugging .500 with an on-base percentage of .391.
• His batting average is 59th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 16th, and his slugging percentage 26th.
• Soto has picked up at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, three home runs, five walks and five RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor has an OPS of .860, fueled by an OBP of .364 and a team-best slugging percentage of .497 this season.
• Lindor brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo has been key for New York with 30 hits, an OBP of .277 plus a slugging percentage of .407.
• Nimmo takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .111 with a double and three walks.

Cubs Player Leaders

• Kyle Tucker has 43 hits with a .392 on-base percentage and a .559 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Cubs. He's batting .283.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he is 35th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and eighth in slugging percentage.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong is hitting .267 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and eight walks. He's slugging .533 with an on-base percentage of .308.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 62nd in batting average, 98th in on-base percentage and 17th in slugging percentage.
• Ian Happ has racked up a team-high .381 slugging percentage.
• Carson Kelly has two doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 18 walks while batting .333.

Mets vs Cubs Head to Head

• 5/9/2025: 7-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 6/23/2024: 5-2 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/22/2024: 8-1 CHC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 11.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/21/2024: 11-1 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 5/2/2024: 7-6 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/1/2024: 1-0 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 4/30/2024: 4-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 4/29/2024: 3-1 CHC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 8/9/2023: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 8/8/2023: 3-2 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)

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