Lakers vs. Thunder Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 9

Lakers vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena -- Los Angeles, California
• Coverage: ABC

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8.5-point favorites in Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The Thunder have a 2-0 series lead. The matchup has an over/under of 211.5 points.

Lakers vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Lakers vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (56.5%)

Lakers vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have gone 39-42-1 against the spread this season.
• In the Lakers' 82 games this year, they have 45 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 45 times this season.
• Lakers games this season have hit the over 43 times in 82 opportunities (52.4%).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has played worse when playing at home, covering 19 times in 42 home games, and 20 times in 40 road games.
• In terms of point totals, the Thunder hit the over less often when playing at home, as they've gone over the total 22 times in 42 opportunities this season (52.4%). In road games, they have hit the over 23 times in 40 opportunities (57.5%).
• Los Angeles' winning percentage against the spread at home is .585 (24-16-1). Away, it is .512 (21-20-0).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Lakers' games have finished above the over/under at home (56.1%, 23 of 41) compared to away (48.8%, 20 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists, shooting 55.3% from the floor and 38.6% from downtown, with 1.7 made treys per contest.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 17.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 55.7% from the field and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 made treys.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 8.6 points, 3.1 boards and 2.6 assists per game, shooting 43.2% from the floor and 35.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 made 3-pointers.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 13.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists, shooting 48.5% from the field and 34.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 9.2 points, 9.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

Lakers Leaders

• LeBron James averages 20.9 points for the Lakers, plus 6.1 boards and 7.2 assists.
• The Lakers get 23.3 points per game from Austin Reaves, plus 4.7 boards and 5.5 assists.
• Deandre Ayton averages 12.5 points, 8 rebounds and 0.8 assists. He is making 67.1% of his shots from the field (second in league).
• The Lakers receive 8.2 points per game from Jake LaRavia, plus 4 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• Rui Hachimura's numbers on the season are 11.5 points, 3.3 boards and 0.8 assists per game. He is draining 51.4% of his shots from the floor and 44.3% from beyond the arc (fifth in league), with an average of 1.7 treys.

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