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30 Min Till Start

AU - Swan Hill - Race 1

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
4.8f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tricky way to start Day 2 of the Carnival with only one runner in the field having been to the races to date. TOROTENA (3) has looked sharp in two jumpout wins this campaign ahead of the debut and appears primed for a big performance at his first trip to the races. Does have a wide gate to overcome but the small field will help offset that and id show a nice turn of foot in the latest trial, so might be able to round them up. GWEN'S GIRL (5) is another who has put together impressive back-to-back trial performance in preparation for this and should be prominent from the inside alley. RED FALCON (1) looked good in his latest Flemington jumpout and from a stable that must be respected, especially in the case of any market support. WICKED STORM (9) ran second to Torotena in a jumpout two back and looks to have been well-educated for the debut, likewise SUCCAFORYOU (8) who has been placed in four jumpouts.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Red Falcon silk
3rd Pick
1

Red Falcon

Jockey: Mitchell Aitken

Trainer: Nick Ryan

J: Mitchell Aitken

T: Nick Ryan

68---4%25/1
2
Scartaka silk
2

Scartaka

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Symon Wilde

J: Linda Meech

T: Symon Wilde

99---4%25/1
3
Torotena silk
1st Pick
3

Torotena

Jockey: Jack Hill

Trainer: Matthew Williams

J: Jack Hill

T: Matthew Williams

36---90%1/9
4
Gamadale Possum silk
4

Gamadale Possum

Jockey: Cory Parish

Trainer: Heath Chalmers

J: Cory Parish

T: Heath Chalmers

22---3%34/1
5
Gwen's Girl silk
2nd Pick
5

Gwen's Girl

Jockey: Will Price

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: Will Price

T: Tom Dabernig

45---5%22/1
6
Lychee Green Tea silk
6

Lychee Green Tea

Jockey: Neil Farley

Trainer: Helen Burns

J: Neil Farley

T: Helen Burns

77---2%52/1
7
Show No Doubt silk
7

Show No Doubt

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Anthony Cosgriff

J: Non Runner

T: Anthony Cosgriff

22---9%

Scratched

8
Succaforyou silk
8

Succaforyou

Jockey: Jake Duffy

Trainer: Lindsey Smith

J: Jake Duffy

T: Lindsey Smith

48---3%34/1
9
Wicked Storm silk
9

Wicked Storm

Jockey: Alana Kelly

Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne

J: Alana Kelly

T: Patrick & Michelle Payne

62---7%14/1

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.