FanDuel MLB DFS Picks: Friday 9/27/24
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Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.
MLB DFS Picks
Pitcher Breakdown
The highest salaries on the main slate are held by Carlos Rodon ($10,600), Jose Berrios ($10,000), Sean Manaea ($9,900), Max Fried ($9,500), and Pablo Lopez ($9,400). Our MLB DFS projections have Lopez (38.1) and Rodon (34.2) with the most forecasted FanDuel points (FDP) for tonight.
Lopez is an obvious target with the most projected points while holding the fifth-highest salary. He has the most projected strikeouts (7.15), which is fueled by the Baltimore Orioles logging 8.8 strikeouts over their last four games. Plus, Baltimore is scoring only 3.9 runs per game over the last 10.
For Rodon, his opponent -- the Pittsburgh Pirates -- have the third-lowest implied total of the night at 3.36. The Pirates are logging only 2.1 runs over their last seven games, and Rodon posted single-game xFIPs under his season average of 4.05 in six of his previous seven outings. Pittsburgh even carries the 11th-highest strikeout percentage (K%) in baseball over the last 30 days, adding more upside to the Rodon play.
Fried isn't too shabby, either, at $9,500. He has the third-highest projected FDP (33.1), and Fried has posted at least 34.0 FDP in three of his last four starts. The Kansas City Royals are carrying the lowest implied total of the night (3.33). Kansas City is tied for the fewest runs scored over the last 30 days.
Bryan Woo ($8,700) has a more affordable salary as he takes on the Oakland Athletics, who carry the second-lowest implied total on Friday (3.35). The A's are logging only 2.5 runs per game over their last six. Oakland also has the ninth-highest K% over the last 30 days, too.
Frankie Montas ($7,800) is also worth a look after logging single-game xFIPs of 3.05 or lower in three of his last four. The New York Mets have mustered up only two runs or fewer in three of their last four. Montas has reached eight strikeouts in three of his previous four contests, as well.
Stacks to Target
- Los Angeles Dodgers (6.05 implied total)
- The top stack on Friday is as clear as day. The Dodgers face the Colorado Rockies' Cal Quantrill. He is carrying a 5.67 ERA over his previous six starts and is in the bottom 31% of hard-hit rate allowed. Quantrill is allowing 2.0 home runs per nine innings (HR/9) since August, and that spells trouble with the Dodgers averaging the third-most home runs per game. Sluggers like Shohei Ohtani ($5,400), Mookie Betts ($4,500), and Max Muncy ($4,200) should be on the radar.
- Toronto Blue Jays (4.98)
- While the Dodgers are holding the highest implied total by a mile on Friday, other teams -- including the Blue Jays -- are still worth a look. The Jays have the second-highest implied total with a matchup against starting hurler Adam Oller. The Miami Marlins' starter has given up a homer in four straight starts. He's particularly struggled against lefties, surrendering a .343 batting average and .543 SLG in September. This opens the door for big games from some of Toronto's left-handed hitters, including Spencer Horwitz ($2,800) and Addison Barger ($2,500).
- Atlanta Braves (4.17)
- Rounding out our stacks is the Braves. Brady Singer of the Kansas City Royals is carrying a 2.1 HR/9 and 25.0% HR/FB in September. With the Braves averaging 3.0 home runs per game over the last five, this is a lineup worth targeting. Marcell Ozuna ($3,600) is eye-catching considering his .329 batting average this month paired with a team-high 39 long balls. Singer is yielding a 33.3% HR/FB to righties this month. Matt Olson ($3,500) and Jorge Soler ($3,200) are a couple more heavy bats that could land on your bingo card.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.