Egypt ML

+145

$10→$24.50

Draw +160 · O/U 1.5

Over 1.5 -172 · BTS +105 · Eimer/Lineups primaries

Iran ML

+290

$10→$39

Egypt 1-1 Iran · Salah opens scoring · Taremi equalizer · both likely advance 🇪🇬 1–1 🇮🇷

This is the most tactically complex match of Group G's final day. Egypt need only a draw to guarantee a top-two finish. Iran need a win to be truly safe, though 3 points from a draw might still earn them third-place qualification. Covers: "Would both teams be happy with a draw? A draw would ensure Egypt qualify, and would almost ensure Iran qualify as well."

Egypt have the quality edge through Salah and Marmoush — confirmed by their historic 3-1 win over New Zealand (Salah scored and assisted). BettorsInsider: "Egypt's tactical flexibility, the individual quality of Salah and Marmoush, and the additional motivation of advancing to the Round of 16 for the first time all point toward Egypt claiming at least a point." Iran's Beiranvand has been heroic (saved 23 Belgium shots) but Egypt are a different level of offensive threat.

The O/U of 1.5 reflects how defensively organised both teams are — but Iran will eventually push for a winner, and that creates the counter-attack space Egypt need. Prediction: 1-1 draw — both advance.

⚠️ Projected · Set pieces: Salah (6 corners/FKs), Marmoush (1), Ashour (2) · Egypt scored in all 2 WC games · Salah is the key player

⚠️ Projected 5-4-1 · RotoWire/BettorsInsider/TotalFootballAnalysis · Hajsafi captain 146 caps · Taremi isolated but clinical when on ball

CBS/Eimer primary: "The Egyptians have both scored and conceded in three straight matches, with those contests averaging 3.0 combined goals. Iran should push for goals, which could also leave them vulnerable in the defensive third." Egypt have scored in every WC game. Iran conceded twice vs New Zealand. Iran will eventually push for a winner — that creates the space Egypt need on the counter. $10→$15.81.

Over 1.5 -172 — CBS/Eimer primary. Egypt scored in all 3 games. Iran must push = exposure. $10→$15.81.

Lineups.com makes BTS (+105) their best bet: "Egypt seeing BTS hit in its last three matches. The safer bet between BTS and Over is BTS." Egypt have scored and conceded in three straight. Iran scored twice vs New Zealand (came from behind twice). Iran will need to chase at some stage — opening their defence. Salah and Marmoush are too creative to be kept quiet by a 5-4-1 for 90 minutes. Plus money on BTS is great value here. $10→$20.50.

BTS +105 — Lineups.com best bet. Egypt BTS in 3 straight. Iran came from behind twice vs NZ. $10→$20.50.

BettorsInsider: "Egypt's tactical flexibility, the individual quality of Salah and Marmoush, and the motivation of advancing to the Round of 16 for the first time all point toward Egypt claiming at least a point." At +145, Egypt as slight favourites offers interesting value — they only need a draw, have the better attacking quality, and carry the confidence of their first-ever WC win. TotalFootballAnalysis: "Egypt top Group G for good reason — Salah and Marmoush give them a cutting edge Iran lack." $10→$24.50.

RotoWire: "Egypt's game runs through Mohamed Salah cutting in off the right onto his left foot. His ability to beat a man and produce a moment is exactly what is needed to break a deep block." Salah scored and assisted in the 3-1 win over New Zealand. He has 8 recent international goals and takes all of Egypt's set pieces. TotalFootballAnalysis: "If Egypt can find him in space early, the shape of this match could be decided inside the first half-hour." Check FD for current Salah anytime price.