Egypt ML

+145

Draw +160 · O/U 1.5 Over -172

Salah +205 leader · Taremi +300 · BTS +105

Iran ML

+290

Anytime goalscorer pays out if the named player scores at any point in 90 minutes + stoppage time. The O/U is just 1.5 — market expects 1-2 goals. Beiranvand stopped 23 Belgium shots. Iran's 5-back is defensively elite. Scorer bets carry real void risk on the Iran side. The strategic play is: $10 Salah +205 (Egypt's key man who scored vs NZ and takes all set pieces) + $10 Taremi +300 (Iran's only real threat, 60 intl goals) = $20 total exposure. Covers: "The chances of 3+ goals are underrated given the xG data from both sides' previous matches." ⚠️ Keep scorer stakes modest in this tight match profile.

FOX and ESPN both confirm +205 FD. Morocco World News: "The 34-year-old Liverpool forward scored and assisted against New Zealand. He needs one goal to equal Hassan's all-time national team scoring record." Sportsgambler: "Salah has racked up four goals in his past eight games — back him at +200." He takes Egypt's set pieces (6 corners/free kicks confirmed by RotoWire). With Iran's 5-back designed to sit deep, Salah's ability to cut inside from the right and create moments from nothing is exactly what Egypt need. $10→$30.50.

Salah +205 — FOX/ESPN confirmed FD leader. Scored + assisted vs NZ. 1 goal from Egypt record. $10→$30.50.

Squawka makes Marmoush the value pick: "Egypt's most direct ball-carrier from the right channel — the second-shortest goalscorer price at +260." He posted the highest xG of any Egypt player against Belgium (0.63) with 5 shots — yet has 0 goals and 0 assists in two WC appearances. He is overdue. With Iran's 5-back shape sitting deep, Marmoush's direct carrying and shooting from range is a profile that can unlock compact defences. $10→$41.

Marmoush +310 — Squawka value. 0.63 xG vs Belgium. 5 shots. 0 goals so far — due. $10→$41.

O/U is just 1.5 goals. Beiranvand stopped 23 Belgium shots. Iran's 5-back is elite defensively. Keep scorer stakes modest. The BTS market at +105 (Lineups.com best bet) gives you plus-money coverage for both teams scoring without having to nail a specific player.

Best scorer strategy: $10 Salah +205 + $10 Taremi +300 = $20 total. If Egypt score first, Salah is most likely. If Iran score, Taremi is their only real threat with 60 intl goals. Both bets together give you the best coverage of the most probable scorers in a match where neither team has strong defensive absences (❌ Fathy OUT, ❌ Abdelmaguid OUT for Egypt, ❌ Cheshmi OUT for Iran — both defences weakened).