Brewers vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for NLDS Game 1 on Oct. 3

Odds updated as of 6:11 a.m.

In MLB action on Saturday, the Milwaukee Brewers face the San Diego Padres in Game 1 of the NLDS.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Brewers vs Padres Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) vs. San Diego Padres (91-71)
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Family Field -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1

Brewers vs Padres Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIL: (-200) | SD: (+168)
• Spread: MIL: -1.5 (+105) | SD: +1.5 (-126)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-144) | Under: (+118)

Brewers vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jacob Misiorowski (Brewers) - 16-5, 1.80 ERA vs Robbie Ray (Padres) - 13-8, 3.59 ERA

The probable starters are Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80 ERA) for the Brewers and Robbie Ray (13-8, 3.59 ERA) for the Padres. Misiorowski's team is 19-11-0 against the spread in his starts this season. When Misiorowski starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 21-6. The Padres are 18-10-0 against the spread when Ray starts. The Padres are 6-7 in Ray's 13 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Brewers vs Padres Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Brewers win (65.1%)

Brewers vs Padres Moneyline

• Milwaukee is a -200 favorite on the moneyline, while San Diego is a +168 underdog on the road.

Brewers vs Padres Spread

• The Brewers are hosting the Padres and are favored by 1.5 runs (+105 to cover) on the runline. San Diego is -126 to cover.

Brewers vs Padres Over/Under

• The over/under for Brewers-Padres on Oct. 3 is 6.5. The over is -144, and the under is +118.

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Brewers vs Padres Betting Trends

• The Brewers have been favorites in 125 games this season and have come away with the win 82 times (65.6%) in those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 18-5 when favored by -200 or more this year.
• The Brewers and their opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 161 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Brewers are 84-77-0 against the spread in their 161 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Padres are 38-39 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 49.4% of those games).
• San Diego has a record of 2-5 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +168 or longer (28.6%).
• The Padres have played in 164 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-83-3).
• The Padres have covered 58.5% of their games this season, going 96-68-0 against the spread.

Brewers Player Leaders

• Brice Turang leads Milwaukee with a slugging percentage of .452, fueled by 61 extra-base hits. He has a .270 batting average and an on-base percentage of .367.
• Among qualifying hitters in baseball, he ranks 41st in batting average, 19th in on-base percentage, and 47th in slugging.
• Turang hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .310 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and eight RBIs.
• William Contreras has 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 61 walks. He's batting .270 and slugging .417 with an on-base percentage of .341.
• He ranks 41st in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 77th in slugging in MLB.
• Contreras heads into this matchup looking to extend his two-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with two walks and six RBIs.
• Jackson Chourio has 152 hits and is batting .291 this season.
• Chourio has picked up a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .571 with a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Jake Bauers leads Milwaukee with an OBP of .389 this season while batting .266 with 94 walks and 93 runs scored.

Padres Player Leaders

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has accumulated a slugging percentage of .470, a team-high for the Padres. He's batting .289 with an on-base percentage of .358.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average puts him 13th, his on-base percentage ranks 36th, and he is 34th in slugging.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .254 with 26 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 41 walks. He's slugging .440 with an on-base percentage of .303.
• Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 74th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage and 56th in slugging percentage.
• Manny Machado is hitting .217 with 22 doubles, 30 home runs and 76 walks.
• Xander Bogaerts has 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .231.

Brewers vs Padres Head to Head

• 8/12/2026: 4-3 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/11/2026: 11-2 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/10/2026: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 5/14/2026: 7-1 MIL (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 5/13/2026: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 5/12/2026: 6-4 MIL (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 9/24/2025: 3-1 MIL (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 9/23/2025: 7-0 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 9/22/2025: 5-4 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 6/8/2025: 1-0 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)

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