Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALDS Game 1 on Oct. 3

Odds updated as of 1:11 a.m.

On Saturday in the MLB, the Tampa Bay Rays are up against the New York Yankees for Game 1 of the ALDS.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Rays vs Yankees Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) vs. New York Yankees (93-68)
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Tropicana Field -- St. Petersburg, Florida
• Coverage: truTV, TBS, and HBO Max

Rays vs Yankees Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TB: (-134) | NYY: (+114)
• Spread: TB: -1.5 (+172) | NYY: +1.5 (-210)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-140) | Under: (+114)

Rays vs Yankees Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen (Rays) - 16-5, 2.67 ERA vs Gerrit Cole (Yankees) - 10-9, 3.61 ERA

The probable starters are Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67 ERA) for the Rays and Gerrit Cole (10-9, 3.61 ERA) for the Yankees. When Rasmussen starts, his team is 16-13-0 against the spread this season. Rasmussen's team is 14-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Yankees have gone 9-13-0 ATS in Cole's 22 starts with a set spread. The Yankees have been the moneyline underdog in five of Cole's starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those games.

Rays vs Yankees Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (61.9%)

Rays vs Yankees Moneyline

• New York is a +114 underdog on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is a -134 favorite at home.

Rays vs Yankees Spread

• The Yankees are at the Rays, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Yankees are +172 to cover the spread, and the Rays are -210.

Rays vs Yankees Over/Under

• The Rays-Yankees contest on Oct. 3 has been given an over/under of 6.5 runs. The over is set at -140 and the under at +114.

Bet on Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees on FanDuel today!

Rays vs Yankees Betting Trends

• The Rays have been favorites in 104 games this season and have come away with the win 66 times (63.5%) in those contests.
• This season Tampa Bay has come away with a win 42 times in 61 chances when named as a favorite of at least -134 on the moneyline.
• The Rays and their opponents have gone over in 75 of their 159 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Rays have posted a record of 84-75-0 against the spread this season.
• The Yankees have compiled a 15-15 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
• New York has a 5-1 record (winning 83.3% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
• In the 158 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Yankees, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-77-4).
• The Yankees have put together an 83-75-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52.5% of the time).

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero leads Tampa Bay in total hits (170) this season while batting .276 with 68 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .360 and a slugging percentage of .524.
• Among qualifying hitters, he ranks 33rd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 30th, and he is sixth in slugging.
• Yandy Diaz has hit 22 homers this season while driving in 85 runs. He's batting .293 this season and slugging .446 with an on-base percentage of .359.
• He is 10th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging among qualifying batters.
• Liam Hicks has 136 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .367.
• Hicks enters this game with two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Chandler Simpson has been key for Tampa Bay with 175 hits, an OBP of .333 plus a slugging percentage of .356.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Ben Rice has accumulated an on-base percentage of .363, a slugging percentage of .534, and has 151 hits, all club-bests for the Yankees (while batting .264).
• He is 50th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage and third in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the majors.
• Rice heads into this game on a four-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBIs.
• Luis Garcia is batting .277 with 26 doubles, five triples, 30 home runs and 25 walks. He's slugging .521 with an on-base percentage of .309.
• He is currently 31st in batting average, 107th in on-base percentage and eighth in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .264 with 25 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 59 walks.
• Trent Grisham is batting .211 with 19 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 61 walks.

Rays vs Yankees Head to Head

• 9/24/2026: 6-4 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 9/23/2026: 9-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 9/22/2026: 6-1 TB (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/22/2026: 2-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 7/9/2026: 12-4 NYY (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 7/8/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
• 7/7/2026: 6-4 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 7/6/2026: 5-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/24/2026: 2-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 5/22/2026: 4-2 TB (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)

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