Braves vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 16

Odds updated as of 4:11 a.m.

The Atlanta Braves are among the MLB squads playing on Saturday, up against the Boston Red Sox.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Braves vs Red Sox Game Info

• Atlanta Braves (31-14) vs. Boston Red Sox (18-26)
• Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Truist Park -- Atlanta, Georgia
• Coverage: BravesVsn and NESN

Braves vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: ATL: (-142) | BOS: (+120)
• Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+140) | BOS: +1.5 (-170)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)

Braves vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Bryce Elder (Braves) - 4-1, 1.81 ERA vs Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 1-2, 2.78 ERA

The probable starters are Bryce Elder (4-1) for the Braves and Payton Tolle (1-2) for the Red Sox. Elder's team is 6-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Elder's team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-2). The Red Sox have failed to cover in each of the four games Tolle has started that had a spread set by oddsmakers. The Red Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for two Tolle starts this season -- they lost both.

Braves vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (59%)

Braves vs Red Sox Moneyline

• The Braves vs Red Sox moneyline has Atlanta as a -142 favorite, while Boston is a +120 underdog on the road.

Braves vs Red Sox Spread

• The Braves are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Red Sox. The Braves are +140 to cover, and the Red Sox are -170.

Braves vs Red Sox Over/Under

• The over/under for Braves-Red Sox on May 16 is 8. The over is -104, and the under is -118.

Bet on Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox on FanDuel today!

Braves vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Braves have been victorious in 25, or 73.5%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season Atlanta has come away with a win 13 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Braves have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 18 of 45 chances this season.
• In 45 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 30-15-0 against the spread.
• The Red Sox have gone 4-10 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 28.6% of those games).
• Boston has gone 1-4 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (20%).
• The Red Sox have played in 44 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-24-1).
• The Red Sox have collected a 17-27-0 record against the spread this season (covering only 38.6% of the time).

Braves Player Leaders

• Matt Olson leads Atlanta with 50 hits, batting .287 this season with 29 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .364 and a slugging percentage of .615.
• He ranks 30th in batting average, 41st in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging among qualifying hitters in MLB.
• Drake Baldwin has a slash line of .298/.377/.530 this season and a team-best OPS of .908.
• Among qualified hitters, he ranks 21st in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage and 15th in slugging percentage.
• Baldwin takes a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .237 with a double, four home runs, five walks and five RBIs.
• Ozzie Albies has collected 49 base hits, an OBP of .339 and a slugging percentage of .468 this season.
• Michael Harris II has been key for Atlanta with 44 hits, an OBP of .333 plus a slugging percentage of .510.
• Harris heads into this game on a seven-game hitting streak. During his last 10 games he is hitting .270 with a double, a home run and two RBIs.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu has racked up a team-high OBP (.377) and slugging percentage (.463), and paces the Red Sox in hits (49, while batting .302).
• Including all the qualified players in the big leagues, his batting average places him 20th, his on-base percentage is 25th, and he is 47th in slugging.
• Willson Contreras has five doubles, eight home runs and 20 walks while hitting .245. He's slugging .442 with an on-base percentage of .360.
• His batting average is 94th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 45th, and he is 58th in slugging.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has five doubles, two triples, four home runs and nine walks while batting .284.
• Jarren Duran has six doubles, four home runs and 11 walks while batting .174.

Braves vs Red Sox Head to Head

• 5/15/2026: 3-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 6/1/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 5/31/2025: 5-0 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 5/30/2025: 5-1 BOS (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
• 5/18/2025: 10-4 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 5/17/2025: 7-6 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 5/16/2025: 4-2 ATL (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 6/5/2024: 9-0 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/4/2024: 8-3 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 5/8/2024: 5-0 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)

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