Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALDS Game 1 on Oct. 4

Odds updated as of 1:12 a.m.

The Saturday slate in the MLB includes a matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees for Game 1 of the ALDS.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information regarding this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) vs. New York Yankees (94-68)
• Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
• Time: 4:08 p.m. ET
• Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
• Coverage: FOX

Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TOR: (-124) | NYY: (+106)
• Spread: TOR: -1.5 (+172) | NYY: +1.5 (-210)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-130) | Under: (+106)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays) - 10-11, 3.59 ERA vs Luis Gil (Yankees) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

The Blue Jays will look to Kevin Gausman (10-11, 3.59 ERA) versus the Yankees and Luis Gil. Gausman's team is 15-17-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Gausman's team is 7-10 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. Gil never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (53.8%)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Moneyline

• Toronto is the favorite, -124 on the moneyline, while New York is a +106 underdog on the road.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Spread

• The Blue Jays are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Yankees. The Blue Jays are +172 to cover, and the Yankees are -210.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under

• Blue Jays versus Yankees, on Oct. 4, has an over/under of 7.5, with the over being -130 and the under +106.

Bet on Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees on FanDuel today!

Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Trends

• The Blue Jays have won in 49, or 59%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Toronto has a record of 46-26 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -124 or more on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 86 of their 161 opportunities.
• The Blue Jays have an against the spread record of 92-69-0 in 161 games with a line this season.
• The Yankees have won seven of the 20 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (35%).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +106 or longer, New York has a 4-6 record (winning 40% of its games).
• In the 163 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Yankees, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-81-6).
• The Yankees have a 77-86-0 record ATS this season.

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .292 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .381 and a slugging percentage of .467.
• Among all qualified batters in the majors, he ranks 12th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 41st in slugging.
• George Springer leads the Blue Jays in OBP (.397) and total hits (153) this season. He's batting .307 while slugging .556.
• Among qualifying hitters, he is fourth in batting average, second in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging percentage.
• Springer takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, two home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Ernie Clement has 151 hits this season and has a slash line of .277/.313/.398.
• Clement brings a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with two doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Alejandro Kirk has 15 home runs, 76 RBI and a batting average of .282 this season.
• Kirk has hit safely in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge has a team-best OBP (.457) and slugging percentage (.688), and leads the Yankees in hits (179, while batting .331).
• Including all qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average places him first, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .272 with 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks. He's slugging .480 with an on-base percentage of .334.
• Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 36th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 29th in slugging percentage.
• Trent Grisham is batting .235 with nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 82 walks.
• Ben Rice is batting .255 with 28 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 50 walks.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Head to Head

• 9/7/2025: 4-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 9/6/2025: 3-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/23/2025: 8-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 7/22/2025: 5-4 NYY (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 7/21/2025: 4-1 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/3/2025: 8-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/2/2025: 11-9 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/1/2025: 12-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 6/30/2025: 5-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)

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