Best Home Run Bet for Today: FanDuel Daily Dinger Pick for Thursday, August 6, 2026

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Fernando Tatis Jr. (+450)

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For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. This HR pick is taken from today’s home run picks article. Click here to find it as well our other MLB betting content.

Best Home Run Pick Today, Daily Dinger

Fernando Tatis Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+450)

Padres at Diamondbacks, 9:41 p.m. ET

I put Fernando Tatis Jr. in yesterday’s HR article, and he came through with a looooong bomb to center. I’m going to press my luck and go back to Tatis today.

He’s set to face lefty Kohl Drake, who has only 13 MLB frames to his name. In that tiny sample, Drake has surrendered a 57.5% fly-ball rate, and over a 66.1-inning Triple-A season this year, Drake had a meh 19.3% K rate while letting up 1.49 homers per nine.

Tatis has mashed his way to a .368 wOBA against left-handers, and while his HR output is down this year, he’s clearly still got pop as — after yesterday’s tank — he’s the only player in the bigs with multiple homers of at least 465 feet.

With a .390 wOBA over his past 35 plate appearances, Tatis is in a groove, and I like these odds for him to launch another homer.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.