De Bruyne at +600 first goal on FanDuel is the structural value pick of the entire first goal board. The case is built around his penalty taker role: Belgium dominate 65%+ possession, press high, and force Iran into defensive errors inside the box. Iran defended 14 set-pieces against New Zealand — their domestic-league full-backs and midfielders will commit fouls under Belgium's sustained pressure. Every one of those infractions inside the penalty area converts directly into a De Bruyne penalty attempt. A De Bruyne penalty in the first 45 minutes = a +600 first goal winner on FanDuel. This is a structural route independent of his open-play performance. $10 at +600 returns $70.

Trossard at +650 on FanDuel is the best first-goal value among Belgium's confirmed starters. With Doku absent, he is Belgium's undisputed left-wide attacker from the opening whistle — more licence to cut inside and shoot from the left channel than he would normally have. Belgium's first goals in recent wins frequently come from wide cutbacks or direct wide-channel shots. If Trossard drives at Iran's right-back Mohammadi early and produces a cut-inside finish — his exact Arsenal goal profile — this is a +650 first goal from a confirmed Belgium starter. $10 at +650 returns $75.

Iran scoring first is a genuine scenario — they did it twice against New Zealand. Taremi's counter-attack threat against Belgium's high line is real: Belgium commit both full-backs forward from minute 1, creating space in behind on every turnover. A quick Belgium press broken by Iran's midfield, Taremi sprints behind Mechele/Ngoy, and scores — that's the +1300 scenario on FanDuel. Keep stakes at $5 maximum. $5 at +1300 returns $70.00.