Arkansas vs Texas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 4

The Arkansas Razorbacks (21-8, 11-5 SEC) will host the Texas Longhorns (18-11, 9-7 SEC) after winning three home games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arkansas vs. Texas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
• Arena: Bud Walton Arena

Arkansas vs. Texas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arkansas win (71.3%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Arkansas (-7.5) versus Texas on Wednesday. The total has been set at 165.5 points for this game.

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Arkansas vs. Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arkansas has covered 19 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
• Texas has put together a 16-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Arkansas covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 69.2% of the time. That's more often than Texas covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (50%).
• The Razorbacks have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 11 times in 16 opportunities at home, and they've covered five times in nine opportunities in road games.
• Against the spread, the Longhorns have had better results away (7-2-0) than at home (8-8-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Arkansas is 10-6-0 this season.
• Texas has covered the spread nine times in 16 SEC games.

Arkansas vs. Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arkansas has come away with 17 wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Razorbacks have been a -345 moneyline favorite on 11 occasions this season and won every game.
• Texas has gone 5-7 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.7% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +270 or longer, the Longhorns have a 1-5 record (winning only 16.7% of their games).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Arkansas has a 77.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Arkansas vs. Texas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Arkansas averages 89.8 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while allowing 79.7 per contest (325th in college basketball). It has a +294 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 10.1 points per game.
• Darius Acuff Jr.'s team-leading 22 points per game ranks ninth in the country.
• Texas outscores opponents by 8.8 points per game (posting 84.3 points per game, 24th in college basketball, and giving up 75.5 per outing, 230th in college basketball) and has a +256 scoring differential.
• Dailyn Swain's 17.7 points per game leads Texas and ranks 109th in the nation.
• The Razorbacks rank 171st in the nation at 32.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.7 their opponents average.
• Trevon Brazile averages 7.1 rebounds per game (ranking 141st in college basketball) to lead the Razorbacks.
• The Longhorns win the rebound battle by an average of 8.8 boards. They are recording 35.1 rebounds per game (41st in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 26.3.
• Swain is 114th in college basketball with 7.4 rebounds per game, leading the Longhorns.
• Arkansas ranks 11th in college basketball with 108.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 228th in college basketball defensively with 96.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Longhorns rank 13th in college basketball averaging 108.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 238th, allowing 97.1 points per 100 possessions.

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