Cent. Conn. St. vs Wagner College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NEC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (18-11, 12-6 NEC) head into the NEC tournament against the No. 7 seed Wagner Seahawks (13-16, 8-10 NEC) on Wednesday at William H. Detrick Gymnasium, beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Cent. Conn. St. vs. Wagner Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: NEC Front Row
• Location: New Britain, Connecticut
• Arena: William H. Detrick Gymnasium

Cent. Conn. St. vs. Wagner Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cent. Conn. St. win (64.6%)

Read the betting insights and trends below before making a wager on Wednesday's Cent. Conn. St.-Wagner spread (Cent. Conn. St. -4.5) or total (139.5 points).

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Cent. Conn. St. vs. Wagner: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Cent. Conn. St. is 14-13-0 ATS this season.
• Wagner has compiled a 15-11-0 record against the spread this year.
• When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, Cent. Conn. St. (5-6) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (45.5%) than Wagner (7-5) does as the underdog (58.3%).
• At home, the Blue Devils have a worse record against the spread (3-8-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (11-5-0).
• This year, the Seahawks are 5-5-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, they are 10-6-0 ATS (.625).
• Cent. Conn. St. has covered the spread nine times in 18 conference games.
• Against the spread in NEC games, Wagner is 9-9-0 this year.

Cent. Conn. St. vs. Wagner: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Cent. Conn. St. has come away with 13 wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Blue Devils have a win-loss record of 7-2 when favored by -215 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Wagner has won five of the 18 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (27.8%).
• The Seahawks have played 10 times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +172 or longer, and lost each game.
• Cent. Conn. St. has an implied victory probability of 68.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Cent. Conn. St. vs. Wagner Head-to-Head Comparison

• Cent. Conn. St.'s +98 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.3 points per game (227th in college basketball) while giving up 70.9 per outing (98th in college basketball).
• Cent. Conn. St.'s leading scorer, Darin Smith Jr., ranks 26th in the nation scoring 20.4 points per game.
• Wagner has a -14 scoring differential, putting up 71.9 points per game (276th in college basketball) and allowing 72.3 (129th in college basketball).
• Nick Jones' 14.3 points per game paces Wagner and ranks 370th in the country.
• The Blue Devils prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 1.5 boards. They are collecting 31.6 rebounds per game (210th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.1 per outing.
• Max Frazier's 7.3 rebounds per game lead the Blue Devils and rank 120th in college basketball action.
• The Seahawks win the rebound battle by 4.1 boards on average. They record 34 rebounds per game, 75th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.9.
• Binael Basil is 301st in college basketball with 5.9 rebounds per game, leading the Seahawks.
• Cent. Conn. St. averages 99.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (125th in college basketball), and allows 95.2 points per 100 possessions (177th in college basketball).
• The Seahawks average 93.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (283rd in college basketball), and allow 94 points per 100 possessions (148th in college basketball).

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