American vs Mount St. Mary's Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Four

The American Eagles (22-12) and the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (22-12) will square off on Wednesday with a spot in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. This First Four matchup starts at 6:40 p.m. ET, on truTV.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

American vs. Mount St. Mary's Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 19, 2025
• Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Dayton, Ohio
• Arena: UD Arena

American vs. Mount St. Mary's Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: American win (52.5%)

American is a 2.5-point favorite against Mount St. Mary's on Wednesday and the total is set at 128.5 points. Below are a few betting insights and trends before you place a wager on the contest.

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American vs. Mount St. Mary's: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• American has put together a 17-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• Mount St. Mary's has put together a 22-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, American (5-8) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (38.5%) than Mount St. Mary's (11-4) does as the underdog (73.3%).
• The Eagles have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered eight times in 14 opportunities at home, and they've covered seven times in 15 opportunities on the road.
• The Mountaineers have been better against the spread on the road (11-6-0) than at home (8-5-0) this season.

American vs. Mount St. Mary's: Moneyline Betting Stats

• American has been victorious in 11, or 73.3%, of the 15 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Eagles have a win-loss record of 9-2 when favored by -148 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Mount St. Mary's has an 11-7 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 61.1% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer, the Mountaineers have an 8-7 record (winning 53.3% of their games).
• American has an implied victory probability of 59.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

American vs. Mount St. Mary's Head-to-Head Comparison

• American outscores opponents by 1.3 points per game (scoring 68.6 per game to rank 310th in college basketball while allowing 67.3 per outing to rank 50th in college basketball) and has a +47 scoring differential overall.
• Matt Rogers is 113th in college basketball with a team-leading 17 points per game.
• Mount St. Mary's scores 70.4 points per game (269th in college basketball) and concedes 69.8 (109th in college basketball) for a +19 scoring differential overall.
• Dola Adebayo's 13.2 points per game paces Mount St. Mary's and ranks 495th in the country.
• The Eagles rank 339th in college basketball at 28.2 rebounds per game. That's two fewer than the 30.2 their opponents average.
• Lincoln Ball leads the Eagles with 5.8 rebounds per game (363rd in college basketball action).
• The Mountaineers prevail in the rebound battle by an average of four boards. They are collecting 34.4 rebounds per game (55th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.4.
• Jedy Cordilia is 129th in the nation with 7.3 rebounds per game, leading the Mountaineers.
• American scores 96.2 points per 100 possessions (163rd in college basketball), while allowing 94.3 points per 100 possessions (205th in college basketball).
• The Mountaineers rank 306th in college basketball averaging 90.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 83rd, allowing 89.9 points per 100 possessions.

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