Xavier vs Texas Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Four

The Xavier Musketeers (21-11) and the Texas Longhorns (19-15) take the court in a First Four matchup on Wednesday. A spot in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament will be awarded to the winner of the game, tipping off at 9:10 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Xavier vs. Texas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 19, 2025
• Game time: 9:10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Dayton, Ohio
• Arena: UD Arena

Xavier vs. Texas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Xavier win (54%)

Read the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Wednesday's Xavier-Texas spread (Xavier -2.5) or over/under (151.5 points).

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Xavier vs. Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Xavier has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• Texas has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 18 times.
• Xavier covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 61.1% of the time. That's more often than Texas covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (53.8%).
• Against the spread, the Musketeers have fared better at home, covering 10 times in 17 home games, and six times in 12 road games.
• This season, the Longhorns are 8-10-0 at home against the spread (.444 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).

Xavier vs. Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Xavier has yet to lose any of the 19 games it has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Musketeers have yet to lose in 17 games when named as moneyline favorite of -134 or better.
• Texas has won four of the 13 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (30.8%).
• The Longhorns have a 4-9 record (winning only 30.8% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Xavier has a 57.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Xavier vs. Texas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Xavier's +229 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 78 points per game (77th in college basketball) while allowing 70.9 per outing (145th in college basketball).
• Zach Freemantle paces Xavier, recording 17.3 points per game (100th in college basketball).
• Texas puts up 78.4 points per game (69th in college basketball) while giving up 72.2 per outing (193rd in college basketball). It has a +211 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.2 points per game.
• Tre Johnson paces Texas, scoring 19.8 points per game (22nd in college basketball).
• The 30.4 rebounds per game the Musketeers average rank 279th in the nation. Their opponents pull down 29.8 per contest.
• Freemantle leads the Musketeers with 7.1 rebounds per game (160th in college basketball action).
• The 32.8 rebounds per game the Longhorns accumulate rank 135th in the country, 1.3 more than the 31.5 their opponents grab.
• Arthur Kaluma is 91st in the country with 7.6 rebounds per game, leading the Longhorns.
• Xavier ranks 40th in college basketball by averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 164th in college basketball, allowing 93 points per 100 possessions.
• The Longhorns rank 60th in college basketball with 100.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 163rd defensively with 92.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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