Xavier vs Texas Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Four

The Xavier Musketeers (21-11) and the Texas Longhorns (19-15) play in a First Four matchup on Wednesday at UD Arena, starting at 9:10 p.m. ET, airing on truTV.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Xavier vs. Texas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 19, 2025
• Game time: 9:10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Dayton, Ohio
• Arena: UD Arena

Xavier vs. Texas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Xavier win (54.9%)

Check out these betting insights and trends before you bet on Wednesday's Xavier-Texas spread (Xavier -3.5) or over/under (151.5 points).

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Xavier vs. Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Xavier has covered 18 times in 32 chances against the spread this season.
• Texas has compiled a 16-18-0 record against the spread this season.
• As a 3.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Texas is 5-4 against the spread compared to the 9-7 ATS record Xavier puts up as a 3.5-point favorite.
• In home games, the Musketeers sport a better record against the spread (10-7-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (6-6-0).
• This year, the Longhorns are 8-10-0 at home against the spread (.444 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).

Xavier vs. Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Xavier has been named as the moneyline favorite 19 times this year and has yet to lose any of those games.
• The Musketeers have not lost in 17 games this year when favored by -146 or better on the moneyline.
• Texas has been the moneyline underdog 13 total times this season. Texas has gone 4-9 in those games.
• The Longhorns are 3-8 (winning only 27.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +122 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Xavier has a 59.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Xavier vs. Texas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Xavier averages 78 points per game (77th in college basketball) while giving up 70.9 per contest (145th in college basketball). It has a +229 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 7.1 points per game.
• Xavier's leading scorer, Zach Freemantle, ranks 100th in the nation scoring 17.3 points per game.
• Texas outscores opponents by 6.2 points per game (posting 78.4 points per game, 69th in college basketball, and conceding 72.2 per contest, 193rd in college basketball) and has a +211 scoring differential.
• Texas' leading scorer, Tre Johnson, ranks 22nd in the country, averaging 19.8 points per game.
• The 30.4 rebounds per game the Musketeers average rank 279th in the country. Their opponents pull down 29.8 per contest.
• Freemantle tops the Musketeers with 7.1 rebounds per game (160th in college basketball action).
• The Longhorns rank 135th in the country at 32.8 rebounds per game. That's 1.3 more than the 31.5 their opponents average.
• Arthur Kaluma leads the team with 7.6 rebounds per game (91st in college basketball).
• Xavier ranks 40th in college basketball by averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 164th in college basketball, allowing 93 points per 100 possessions.
• The Longhorns' 100.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 60th in college basketball, and the 92.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 163rd in college basketball.

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