Alabama State vs Saint Francis (PA) Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Four

The Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash (16-17) are trying to secure a place in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament bracket in their First Four game against the Alabama State Hornets (19-15) on Tuesday at UD Arena, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 18, 2025
• Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Dayton, Ohio
• Arena: UD Arena

Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama State win (60.5%)

Before making a bet on Tuesday's Alabama State-Saint Francis (PA) spread (Alabama State -4.5) or over/under (139.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Alabama State has covered 14 times in 32 matchups with a spread this season.
• Saint Francis (PA) has put together a 15-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, Alabama State (5-7) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (41.7%) than Saint Francis (PA) (6-8) does as the underdog (42.9%).
• The Hornets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered four times in 10 games at home, and they've covered seven times in 15 games on the road.
• Against the spread, the Red Flash have had better results on the road (10-8-0) than at home (5-5-0).

Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Alabama State has been victorious in 13, or 72.2%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Hornets have won eight of 10 games when listed as at least -198 or better on the moneyline.
• Saint Francis (PA) is 6-14 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 30% of those games).
• The Red Flash are 2-10 (winning only 16.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +166 or longer.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Alabama State has a 66.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Alabama State is outscoring opponents by 1.2 points per game with a +41 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73.4 points per game (194th in college basketball) and gives up 72.2 per contest (194th in college basketball).
• Alabama State's leading scorer, CJ Hines, is 337th in the nation putting up 14.4 points per game.
• Saint Francis (PA) scores 71.1 points per game (257th in college basketball) and allows 71.6 (170th in college basketball) for a -16 scoring differential overall.
• Riley Parker paces Saint Francis (PA), recording 13.4 points per game (462nd in college basketball).
• The Hornets pull down 32.4 rebounds per game (154th in college basketball) while allowing 35.7 per outing to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 3.3 boards per game.
• Antonio Madlock averages 7.2 rebounds per game (ranking 139th in college basketball) to lead the Hornets.
• The 30.9 rebounds per game the Red Flash accumulate rank 242nd in the country. Their opponents pull down 31.5.
• Valentino Pinedo averages 6.5 rebounds per game (233rd in college basketball) to lead the Red Flash.
• Alabama State scores 93.2 points per 100 possessions (252nd in college basketball), while giving up 91.6 points per 100 possessions (131st in college basketball).
• The Red Flash rank 246th in college basketball averaging 93.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 195th, allowing 94.1 points per 100 possessions.

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