3 Super Bowl Receiving Props to Target

The Super Bowl gives us a lot of time to break down every angle of the game. There are tons of markets we can get deep into.

Today, we'll look at the receiving markets to find some value. Everything from simple receptions and yards, to receiving distance and head-to-head matchups are available to bet. You can find these under player props or the receiving props on FanDuel Sportsbook.

All lines come from the NFL odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines subject to change.

3 Super Bowl Receiving Props to Target

Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions (-144)

We'll start with a simple bet on one of the game's biggest stars. It's safe to say that Travis Kelce has proven that he's neither done as an elite tight end nor that his off-the-field life has been a distraction for him in the playoffs.

He did have a slow regular season, but the postseason has brought him back to life. In three playoff games, Kelce has seen 27 targets. That's good for a 30% share.

The only game in which Kelce didn't exceed this during the postseason was in the Divisional Round against the Buffalo Bills. The Kansas City Chiefs only attempted 23 passes in that game -- far lower than their season average (36.84).

Kelce was rejuvenated after the team gave him Week 18 off, so perhaps, we'll see that in the Super Bowl, as well.

The San Francisco 49ers have two great linebackers in Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw, who have limited tight end production all season long. They ranked second in adjusted fantasy points per target against the position.

However, the Niners did allow the 11th-most catches to the position in the regular season. The last time we saw SF play, they allowed Sam LaPorta to catch 9 of his 13 targets.

If Kelce maintains that target share that he's seen in the playoffs, he should be able to easily clear this number.

Christian McCaffrey Under 4.5 Receptions (+100)

Betting against Christian McCaffrey is rarely successful. If you were someone who thought his injuries in 2020 and 2021 were going to end his career as an elite back, he proved you wrong this season.

CMC was elite this season, but it in a different way than he was in time with the Carolina Panthers. In his last fully healthy season with the Panthers, he caught 116 balls in 16 games. That number was down to 67 this season.

More of his success was on the ground and through touchdowns. He scored 14 rushing touchdowns and had a career-high 1459 rushing yards.

In this specific matchup, McCaffrey is more likely to find success on the ground. According to numberFire's metrics, the Chiefs defense was 4th against the pass but 27th against the run. Against running backs, KC allowed the 9th-fewest targets and 13th-fewest receptions.

The 49ers' zone running scheme matches up well with how KC defends against the run. That should mean that S.F. won't necessarily need to go out of their way to get McCaffrey the ball in the passing game.

McCaffrey averaged fewer than 4.5 catches per game (4.3) this season, and the fact that we are getting even money with what we know about this matchup makes the under a worthwhile bet in this game.

Rashee Rice to Record 50 Receiving Yards Before Deebo Samuel (-172)

This is a special prop offered by FanDuel, and while we have to lay a fairly big price, it could be worth it. Do note that at least one of the players needs to exceed 50 yards for action on this bet.

We all know the unique skill set of Deebo Samuel. He is built like a running back and sometimes gets carries like one. He doesn't always have the passing game usage that we'd like to see; he saw just 5.76 targets per game. Before last week in the conference championship, he hadn't reached 50 yards since Week 14.

Most people probably didn't expect Rashee Rice to be the Chiefs' top receiver for most of the season -- even ahead of Kelce at points of the season.

Rice exceeded 50 yards in seven consecutive games at the end of the season -- and in the first playoff game. That ended in the game against Buffalo, but, as we've established, the Chiefs did not throw the ball too often in that game.

The Chiefs really started to commit to getting him involved in Week 12 as he ran 68% of the routes that week, and never went below that number afterwards. In this sample, he's seen 27% of the targets, which led the team.

Patrick Mahomes has a passing yardage total of 262.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook, and Brock Purdy's is at 246.5. So, we're already anticipating more yardage for the Chiefs and their receivers, giving Rice another leg up.

Like we talked about on the CMC prop, the 49ers' gameplan could be, and perhaps should be, to run the ball. That should be the focus early on, meaning that it will likely take Deebo longer than normal to get 50 yards -- if he even gets there.

For all of these reasons, I'd bet on Rice to win this race to 50 yards.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.