3 NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets for Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers
It's now the Divisional Round, which is often considered the best weekend of the NFL season. Annually, it presents four contentious battles on the gridiron, setting the stage for the conference championships.
Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props bets that look appealing.
Please note that betting lines and numberFire's game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. All betting numbers come from the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers: Spread, Moneyline and Total
- Spread: 49ers -9.5 (-112)
- Moneyline:
- Green Bay +350
- San Francisco -450
- Total: 50.5 (-115/-105)
Green Bay Packers-San Francisco 49ers Overview
Setting an NFL record, the San Francisco 49ers (12-5) and Green Bay Packers (9-8) will face-off in their 10th head-to-head playoff contest (SF currently leads that series, 5-4). Seemingly, it is starting to feel like the 1990s all over again: a decade in which the Pack and Niners met in four consecutive postseasons.
More recently, Green Bay and San Francisco have matched up in the playoffs over two of the past four seasons. This Saturday evening, the old rivals will battle it out in the Divisional Round for the fourth time in history (where GB holds a 2-1 advantage). The Pack have not defeated the 49ers in January since 2002.
Largely, San Francisco has been a powerhouse -- from start to finish and on both sides on the ball -- through the recent regular season. At numberFire, the 49ers (13.18 nERD) are viewed as the NFL's top team. Their 2023-24 team statistics seem to support that, as SF finished the year ranked third in scoring on both offense (28.9 PPG) and defense (17.5 PPG).
Green Bay and head coach Matt LaFleur had mixed results this past campaign, losing six of eight contests at one point. Regardless, the Packers are currently riding a four-game winning streak. Last weekend, the entire nation saw GB throttle the Dallas Cowboys at "Jerry World" (where the 'Boys had previously won 16 consecutive bids). Still, the Pack enter this matchup with San Francisco as a 9.5-point underdog.
This weekend, the Niners and Packers will both feature youthful, talented quarterbacks in Brock Purdy (league-leading 9.6 yards per attempt) and Jordan Love (21-1 TD-INT ratio over his past eight starts). Colin Kaepernick and Aaron Rodgers gave us some fun head-to-head playoff battles in this series, as did Steve Young and Brett Favre before them. So, how will Purdy and Love commence the new era?
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers: Prop Bets
Jordan Love Over 246.5 Passing Yards (-114)
As alluded to, there might not be a quarterback currently playing more efficiently than Green Bay's Jordan Love. Through his past six games, Love has built a sharp completion clip of 71.8%. Additionally, the Utah State alum did well to greatly increase his yardage production halfway through the year.
Since Week 9, Love has averaged a prolific 271.1 passing yards per game (YPG). He also finished second among QBs this season in touchdown passes with 32. Through that aforementioned time span, Love has failed to toss two or more scores in a game only once (Week 14 at the New York Giants).
Of course, Love is staying on the road this weekend, facing another stout defense. Against the 49ers, the first-year starter will need to keep eyes out for Nick Bosa and Fred Warner (the reigning DPOY and a unanimous 2023 NFL All-Pro). However, if San Francisco has a weak spot on defense, it is in the secondary -- SF has allowed a 66% completion rate (12th-highest) to opposing passers.
With Love's ability to extend plays (and the fact that Green Bay could be in a negative script), I think he can eclipse 246.5 passing yards (-114 odds) on Saturday in Santa Clara. Through his past 10 appearances, Love has gone over this passing total in all but two games.
George Kittle Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Known as "The People's Tight End," two-time First-Team All-Pro George Kittle is surely quite eager to return to the postseason. In 2023-24, Kittle was San Francisco's second-leading pass-catcher after Brandon Aiyuk. By completion of the recent regular season, Kittle went over 1,000 receiving yards for the first time since 2019 (the last campaign in which SF qualified for the Super Bowl).
An explosive run blocker, Kittle has been one of the most valuable 49ers over the past seven years. Through the recent regular season, the Iowa alum rediscovered his receiving prowess, compiling a career-best 15.7 yards per reception. Larger scale, Kittle contributed 63.75 YPG in 2023.
Of course, the Niners have many mouths to feed in an offense that also features Aiyuk, Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel. Still, Purdy has distributed the football masterfully, as all mentioned players here have 60 or more receptions (including Kittle). Transparently, it is easy to see why numberFire's power rankings show San Francisco with the NFL's top passing attack -- head coach Kyle Shanahan must be proud.
Over Kittle's last four games head-to-head with Green Bay, he has maintained a receiving clip of 75.75 YPG. In his most recent bid against the Pack (2021-22 NFC Divisional Round), Kittle logged four catches for 63 yards. Simply, I will gladly take a performance like that against the set prop total of 53.5 yards (-114 odds).
When it comes to defending this position, the Packers are not exactly the most stingy team. In 2023, they allowed 859 yards to tight ends, which was the league's 15th-highest figure in that category -- let's go Kittle.
Aaron Jones Any Time TD Scorer (+105)
Admittedly, Packers running back Aaron Jones did not have his most productive season, but he saw his role better utilized in last Sunday's romp over Dallas. There, Jones scored three touchdowns on 21 carries with 118 yards.
With the weather forecasted as soggy in Santa Clara this Saturday, I see Jones having a major role for the second consecutive week. Despite the many studs within San Francisco's defensive front, the 49ers are still surrendering 4.1 yards per carry. With rain projected for a majority of the day leading up to game time (8:15 p.m. ET), Jones should see his number called plenty.
Since the season started, the Texas-El Paso alum has found the end zone on only six occasions. However, given the current climate and matchup, I don't mind placing a plus-money wager on Jones to cross the goal line at any time, in any fashion.
If you're betting on any of Saturday, January 20th's NFL playoff action, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL No-Sweat Same Game Parlay. See the promotions page for more information.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.