3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Wednesday 11/29/23

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Russell Westbrook Over 20.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-106)

After an 0-5 start to the James Harden era, the Los Angeles Clippers made a key adjustment to their rotation and are starting to find their footing. They've won four of their last six since Russell Westbrook offered to remove himself from the starting lineup.

Though Westbrook is averaging only 22.5 minutes in this six-game span, he's still a key part of the team and efficient on the stat sheet. He's in line for a great matchup against the Sacramento Kings, so I think it's worth targeting him to record 21-plus combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA).

On the season, Westbrook is averaging 24.1 PRA. That number has decreased to 19.7 since coming off the bench, though there was a 14-minute, 12.5% field-goal percentage (FG%) game mixed in. Over his last two games, he is averaging 28.5 PRA.

The Kings are prone to sacrificing big numbers on the stat sheet. They allow the 10th-most points, 11th-most rebounds, and ninth-most assists per game.

Sacramento allows the 11th-most points in the paint to guards per 36 minutes -- Westbrook scores 60.9% of his points from this area.

Westbrook ranks second among all Clippers players in rebound chances (10.4 per game), while he defers the sixth-fewest rebounds among consistent rotation players.

Last season, he averaged a towering 37.0 PRA in five games against the Kings -- however, he did play an average of 34.8 minutes, which we can't reasonably expect tonight. But the 0.94 PRA per minute stat is key.

If he has this same efficiency as the five-game sample size from last year, he would need only 23 minutes on the court to get the job done, and he's played an average of 26.0 minutes over his last two.

Kyle Kuzma Under 11.5 Reb + Ast (-104)

Kyle Kuzma has been held to the under on this prop in 10 out of 17 games this season and is averaging 11.0 combined rebounds and assists (RA). With that being said, he has cleared the over in four out of his last five games, but I think tonight's matchup against the Orlando Magic will not constitute above-average numbers for Kuzma.

The Magic allow the fewest rebounds and the second-fewest assists per game, both as a whole and to forwards per 36 minutes. They also allow the fewest field-goal attempts (FGA) per game (tied) and shoot the fifth-fewest FGA.

Although the Washington Wizards play at the second-highest pace in the league, Orlando clearly has a propensity for slowing things down on both sides of the court, and the latter should rule the pace of this game. The Magic are favored by a slate-high 10.0 points and their 12-5 record is nearly the inverse of Washington's 3-14 record.

numberFire anticipates this top-ranked Magic team (second-best defensive rating in the NBA) to hold the Wizards to 107.9 points tonight. In games where the Wizards have been held to 108 points or fewer, Kuzma is averaging only 9.3 RA.

D'Angelo Russell Over 14.5 Points (-120)

D'Angelo Russell's scoring game has been a bit finicky this season. He's averaging 16.7 points per game but has surpassed 15 points in only half of them. Russell has scored 27 or more on three occasions this year, so we know the ceiling is alive and well, and I like his matchup against the Detroit Pistons.

The Pistons let up the ninth-most points per game, including to guards per 36 minutes. Russell is a decent free-throw shooter (77.1% FT%) and Detroit allows the second-most free-throw attempts per game. He scores 38.0% of his points in the paint, and the Pistons cede the seventh-most paint points to guards per 36 minutes.

Detroit also gives up the second-most points per possession in isolation, and Russell ranks 16th among all NBA players in isolation points per possession.

Russell also gets some work done in pick-and-roll scenarios, leading the Los Angeles Lakers in pick-and-roll points as the ball-handler. The Pistons, meanwhile, are sacrificing the second-most points to ball-handlers off of pick-and-rolls.

Last season, the Lakers starting point guard averaged 22.0 points in two games against Detroit. He averaged the same against the Pistons the year prior, and I would expect this matchup to continue affording him scoring success.

You can get Russell as the top points scorer in the Lakers-Pistons game at +2800. It's a tall task to ask him to outdo both LeBron James and Anthony Davis in the points column, but Davis can be prone to so-so outings (eight of his 17 games have been sub-20-point performances) and LeBron doesn't seem to mind taking a backseat every once and a while this season. While the majority of my faith lies in a 15-point performance for Russell, I think the juicy +2800 could be worth a gander.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.