3 Best Bets and Player Prop Bets for Steelers vs Browns Thursday Night Football Prediction

Steelers vs Browns Picks at a Glance

• Browns Moneyline (+126)
• Under 38.5 Points (-115)
• Pat Freiermuth Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Week 4 of the NFL season kicks off with an AFC North rivalry as the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Cleveland to take on the Browns on Thursday Night Football.

Divisional matchups tend to bring plenty of intrigue, and Thursday's game gives bettors a full menu of options to consider. From the spread and total to player props and touchdown markets, there are several ways to attack this matchup.

Which bets stand out for Steelers-Browns on TNF? Using the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook as a guide, let’s break down our favorite picks.

All NFL projections via our numbers at FanDuel Research, and NFL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Steelers vs Browns Player Props, Picks for Thursday Night Football

Browns Moneyline (+126)

The Cleveland Browns ML came through for us last week, and I’m going back to the well this week with Cleveland once again a small home ‘dog.

In truth, I just don’t see much between these teams. Both are struggling on offense, with the Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers ranking 25th and 26th, respectively, in yards per play. They’re also both in the bottom 10 in net yards per pass attempt.

While Cleveland’s defense hasn’t been as good as it was in 2025 — when it gave up the fifth-fewest yards per play — they’re still a strong unit, and Aaron Rodgers registered just 187 passing yards with a pair of fumbles in his lone road start this season.

Ultimately, I see a lower-scoring game where Cleveland does just enough to get the win, similar to what the Browns did a week ago versus the Panthers.

Under 38.5 Points (-115)

As I just laid out, this is a matchup between two of the worst offenses in the NFL. As such, the total is set at a low number. I think it should be even lower.

Not only are both offenses struggling, the defenses are pretty solid, as well, and the short week likely won’t help the offenses too much.

Rodgers’ first road game this year did not go well, which we covered above. The Steelers mustered only three points in that one. A season ago, he averaged just 6.66 adjusted yards per attempt on the road, and he had a miserable outing at Cleveland late last campaign, throwing for only 168 yards despite 39 attempts in a 13-6 Steelers loss.

Cleveland’s O has made some chunk plays this year and has some talent at the skill positions, but the Browns are 25th in yards per play and are averaging just 18.0 points per game.

All in all, while this total is low, I still like the under on a short week in a clash between two blah offenses versus two solid defenses.

Pat Freiermuth Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

One spot where the Browns’ D has been forgiving this year so far is tight end, and Pat Freiermuth can take advantage.

Through three weeks, Cleveland has allowed the eighth-most catches per game (6.3) to TEs as well as the ninth-most receiving yards per game (66.0) to the position.

Freiermuth has generated at least 30 yards in each of the Steelers’ three games, averaging 36.0 receiving yards per game this season. He made three catches for 63 yards in his most recent matchup with the Browns, and he’s topped 28.5 yards in six of his previous seven regular-season games.

This is my favorite player prop for today’s game.

Check out our fantasy football sleepers for Week 4.

NFL Betting Frequently Asked Questions

What is an NFL point spread?

A point spread is designed to level the playing field between two teams. Favorites must win by more than the spread, while underdogs can either win outright or lose by fewer points than the spread.

What is an NFL moneyline bet?

A moneyline bet is simply picking which team will win the game. Favorites have negative odds, while underdogs have positive odds.

What are NFL player props?

Player prop bets focus on an individual player's performance, such as passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, or receptions, rather than the outcome of the game.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.