Yankees vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 1:14 a.m.

The New York Yankees are among the MLB squads busy on Saturday, versus the New York Mets.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Yankees vs Mets Game Info

• New York Yankees (48-40) vs. New York Mets (51-38)
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1, SNY, and YES

Yankees vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-148) | NYM: (+126)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+108) | NYM: +1.5 (-130)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Yankees vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (Yankees) - 9-5, 2.95 ERA vs Frankie Montás (Mets) - 0-1, 6.00 ERA

The Yankees will give the nod to Carlos Rodon (9-5) against the Mets and Frankie Montas (0-1). Rodon and his team have a record of 5-13-0 against the spread when he starts. Rodon's team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-9). Montas has started two games with set spreads, and the Mets failed to cover in both opportunities. The Mets were the moneyline underdog for one Montas start this season -- they lost.

Yankees vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (57.9%)

Yankees vs Mets Moneyline

• The Yankees vs Mets moneyline has the Yankees as a -148 favorite, while the Mets are a +126 underdog at home.

Yankees vs Mets Spread

• The Yankees are 1.5-run favorites on the runline against the Mets. The Yankees are +108 to cover, while the Mets are -130 to cover.

Yankees vs Mets Over/Under

• An over/under of 9 has been set for Yankees-Mets on July 5, with the over being -105 and the under -115.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Yankees have been victorious in 45, or 58.4%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season, the Yankees have come away with a win 32 times in 51 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or shorter on the moneyline.
• The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 87 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees have posted a record of 38-49-0 against the spread this season.
• The Mets are 10-15 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games).
• The Mets have gone 2-4 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer (33.3%).
• The Mets have combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 37 times this season for a 37-46-2 record against the over/under.
• The Mets have covered 50.6% of their games this season, going 43-42-0 against the spread.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge leads New York with 118 hits and an OBP of .474, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .740. He's batting .365.
• Among qualified batters in MLB, he is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Judge will look for his fifth straight game with a hit in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .571 with two doubles, two home runs, eight walks and four RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger has 15 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks. He's batting .269 and slugging .463 with an on-base percentage of .327.
• Among all qualifying hitters, he is 60th in batting average, 79th in on-base percentage and 51st in slugging percentage.
• Bellinger has picked up a hit in 10 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .356 with three doubles, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt has 87 hits this season and has a slash line of .282/.343/.425.
• Trent Grisham has been key for New York with 62 hits, an OBP of .352 plus a slugging percentage of .476.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has accumulated a team-best .399 on-base percentage. He's batting .266 and slugging .516.
• Including all the qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average puts him 66th, his on-base percentage is third, and he is 18th in slugging.
• Soto takes a three-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .412 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Pete Alonso has 96 hits while slugging .530. Both lead his team. He has a batting average of .287 with an on-base percentage of .379.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 28th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and 14th in slugging percentage.
• Francisco Lindor has 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 29 walks while batting .258.
• Brandon Nimmo has 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .254.

Yankees vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/4/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 5/18/2025: 8-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 5/17/2025: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 5/16/2025: 6-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 7/24/2024: 12-3 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 7/23/2024: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 6/26/2024: 12-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 6/25/2024: 9-7 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 7/26/2023: 3-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 7/25/2023: 9-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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