Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.
The MLB schedule on Saturday includes the Boston Red Sox taking on the Washington Nationals.
Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this matchup.
Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info
- Boston Red Sox (44-45) vs. Washington Nationals (37-51)
- Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
- Coverage: MASN and NESN
Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: BOS: (-112) | WSH: (-104)
- Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+134) | WSH: +1.5 (-162)
- Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)
Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Walker Buehler (Red Sox) - 5-6, 6.45 ERA vs Mitchell Parker (Nationals) - 5-8, 4.73 ERA
The probable pitchers are Walker Buehler (5-6) for the Red Sox and Mitchell Parker (5-8) for the Nationals. Buehler's team is 6-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Buehler's team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2). The Nationals are 9-6-0 against the spread when Parker starts. The Nationals have an 8-4 record in Parker's 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nationals win (52.8%)
Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline
- Boston is a -112 favorite on the moneyline, while Washington is a -104 underdog at home.
Red Sox vs Nationals Spread
- The Red Sox are at the Nationals and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Red Sox are +134 to cover the runline, with the Nationals being -162.
Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under
- Red Sox versus Nationals, on July 5, has an over/under of 9.5, with the over being -122 and the under -100.
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Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends
- The Red Sox have won in 27, or 50%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This season Boston has come away with a win 26 times in 50 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox's games have gone over the total in 42 of their 88 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 45-43-0 against the spread in their 88 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Nationals are 32-34 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48.5% of those games).
- Washington has a 31-32 record (winning 49.2% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of -104 or longer.
- The Nationals have played in 84 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-38-1).
- The Nationals have a 45-39-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.6% of the time).
Red Sox Player Leaders
- Jarren Duran leads Boston with a slugging percentage of .412, fueled by 37 extra-base hits. He has a .255 batting average and an on-base percentage of .313.
- Among the qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 83rd, his on-base percentage ranks 106th, and he is 93rd in slugging.
- Duran will look for his sixth straight game with a hit in this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
- Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox in OBP (.326) and total hits (65) this season. He's batting .257 while slugging .498.
- Among qualifying hitters, he is 78th in batting average, 80th in on-base percentage and 24th in slugging percentage.
- Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .253 with a .424 slugging percentage and 34 RBI this year.
- Rafaela has recorded a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with five doubles, a walk and two RBIs.
- Trevor Story has been key for Boston with 83 hits, an OBP of .293 plus a slugging percentage of .404.
- Story brings a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .410 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and 13 RBIs.
Nationals Player Leaders
- James Wood has accumulated a team-high OBP (.395) and slugging percentage (.559), and paces the Nationals in hits (96, while batting .292).
- Including all qualifying players, he is 16th in batting average, while his on-base percentage is fifth and he is seventh in slugging.
- C.J. Abrams has 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks while batting .287. He's slugging .487 with an on-base percentage of .358.
- Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 28th in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage and 33rd in slugging percentage.
- Luis Garcia is batting .269 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
- Nathaniel Lowe is hitting .231 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
Red Sox vs Nationals Head to Head
- 7/4/2025: 11-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 5/12/2024: 3-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 5/11/2024: 4-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
- 5/10/2024: 5-1 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
- 8/17/2023: 10-7 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -186, Underdog Moneyline: +156)
- 8/16/2023: 6-2 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
- 8/15/2023: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
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