Wild Card Weekend NFL Odds: Predictions, Spreads, Moneylines, and Totals for Every Game
The NFL playoffs begin this weekend with six games across three days.
It's time to win or go home.
Here are the NFL betting odds for each game during Wild Card Weekend. All game predictions via numberFire.
Matchup | Home Spread | Away Moneyline | Home Moneyline | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland at Houston | +2.5 | -130 | +110 | 44.5 |
Miami at Kansas City | -4.5 | +184 | -220 | 44 |
Pittsburgh at Buffalo | -9.5 | +410 | -550 | 33.5 |
Green Bay at Dallas | -7.0 | +265 | -330 | 50.5 |
LA Rams at Detroit | -3.0 | +138 | -164 | 51.5 |
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay | +3 | -156 | +132 | 43.5 |
Browns at Texans Wild Card Weekend Odds
- Cleveland Browns Moneyline: -130
- Houston Texans Moneyline: +110
- Spread: Browns (-2.5)
- Total: 44.5
- numberFire Prediction: Browns (52.3%)
The Browns rested key starters in Week 18, thanks to having locked up the 5 seed prior to the end of the regular season.
They've been playing great football since Joe Flacco took over. Flacco has averaged 323.2 yards and 2.6 touchdowns per game with 7.9 yards per attempt.
Of note, their defense has had massive splits when away from home. They allowed only 13.9 points per game at home but a league-high 29.4 on the road.
The Texans scored a playoff win by virtue of a road victory against the Colts in Week 18 on Saturday night, which means we'll get to see the phenomenal C.J. Stroud earn a playoff start as a rookie.
Stroud had some pretty massive home/road splits this season (17 touchdowns at home and 6 on the road). He also maintained a 108.3 quarterback rating at home, a number that dropped to 91.5 on the road. Most notably, though, Stroud averaged 8.9 yards per attempt in games with roofs but just 6.9 yards per attempt in games outdoors (five such games).
The Jaguars' loss in Week 18 could prove crucial for the Texans' offense, now that they're at home for the Wild Card round.
Texans WRs Noah Brown (back) and Robert Woods (hip) were limited in practice on Thursday.
Browns CB Denzel Ward (knee and shoulder) was limited on Thursday.
Dolphins at Chiefs Wild Card Weekend Odds
- Miami Dolphins Moneyline: +184
- Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline: -220
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)
- Total: 44.0
- numberFire Prediction: Chiefs (63.2%)
The Chiefs rested a lot of key starters in Week 18's game because they had locked up the 3 seed entering the week.
While they'll have to hit the road at some point if they put together a playoff winning streak, the team will start the playoff race at home. Kansas City scored 23.0 points per game at home this season, a pretty middling rate.
However, 17 of Patrick Mahomes' 27 touchdowns this year came at Arrowhead.
The Dolphins' offense has traveled well and has averaged 26.1 points per game on the road, the second-highest mark in the NFL this season.
Their Week 18 loss to the Bills bumped them down to the 6 seed despite their 11-6 record, and that means a visit to Arrowhead as road underdogs in a game with a total lower than we probably would've expected before the season began.
Tyreek Hill (ankle and quad), Raheem Mostert (knee and ankle), and Jaylen Waddle (ankle) were limited in practice on Thursday. De'Von Achane (toe and ribs) was full.
Steelers at Bills Wild Card Weekend Odds
- Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline: +410
- Buffalo Bills Moneyline: -550
- Spread: Bills (-9.5)
- Total: 33.5
- numberFire Prediction: Bills (72.8%)
The Steelers took care of business in a rainy game on Saturday against the Baltimore Ravens -- and then got the help they needed from the rest of the AFC in order to secure the 7 seed and a trip to Orchard Park.
They enter the postseason on a three-game win streak with Mason Rudolph under center. They scored 34, 30, and 17 points in those three games for 27.0 points per game with Rudolph leading the charge.
Rudolph himself has averaged 238.7 yards and 1.0 touchdowns per game with 10.1 yards per attempt on 23.7 attempts per game as a starter. In these three games, Pittsburgh's pass rate over expectation is -11.8%, via nflfastR data, and that's a league-low.
The Bills' big win over the Dolphins featured a 96-yard punt return touchdown by Deonte Harty, and that helped them earn home-field advantage and the 2 seed in the AFC.
Buffalo is 7-2 at home and will be tasked with stopping the run this week.
Bills WR Gabe Davis (knee) is out. The Steelers will be without T.J. Watt (knee).
Packers at Cowboys Wild Card Weekend Odds
- Green Bay Packers Moneyline: +265
- Dallas Cowboys Moneyline: -330
- Spread: Cowboys (-7)
- Total: 50.5
- numberFire Prediction: Cowboys (69.5%)
Green Bay held on to a 17-9 victory over the Chicago Bears in Week 18 to clinch a playoff berth and a first-round matchup against the Cowboys, who took care of business with a 38-10 win over Washington in Week 18 to close out the season.
In Week 18, Jordan Love racked up 316 yards through the air with 112 going to rookie Jayden Reed. Aaron Jones also ran for 111 yards in a balanced attack for the Pack.
Dallas, though, is a big favorite while playing at home. At Cowboys Stadium, Dallas is an unblemished 8-0 while holding a massive +21.5 scoring margin.
Green Bay finished the regular season 4-5 on the road despite a +4.2 point differential in road matchups.
Rams at Lions Wild Card Weekend Odds
- Los Angeles Rams Moneyline: +138
- Detroit Lions Moneyline: -164
- Spread: Lions (-3)
- Total: 51.5
- numberFire Prediction: Lions (67.1%)
Entering Week 18, the Lions could've gotten the 2 or 3 seed in the NFC and played starters to stay sharp and push for homefield advantage.
They scored a pyrrhic victory over the Vikings in Week 18 as they lost breakout tight end Sam LaPorta to a knee injury in the first half. He is expected to miss time. Kalif Raymond also exited with a knee injury of his own.
LaPorta is questionable, and Raymond is out.
The team gets to host the Rams, who drew the 6 seed. The Rams knew they'd be either the 6 seed or the 7 seed in the NFC entering Week 18, so they took the opportunity to rest up their key players.
Entering Week 18, the Rams actually scored 24.0 points per game on the road and 23.9 at home, making them one of 11 teams to average more points on the road than at home.
Wideout Puka Nacua set the rookie record for catches in Week 18's win over the 49ers.
Rams TE Tyler Higbee (shoulder) is questionable.
Eagles at Buccaneers Wild Card Weekend Odds
- Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline: -156
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers Moneyline: +132
- Spread: Eagles (-3)
- Total: 43.5
- numberFire Prediction: Buccaneers (51.7%)
The Monday night game to close out Wild Card Weekend will be held in Tampa Bay's Raymond James Stadium when the reeling Eagles take on the surging Buccaneers.
The Bucs have won five of their past six games, including a crucial 9-0 ugly win over the Panthers in Week 18 on the road. But they were able to score an NFC South division crown, the team's third straight.
Tampa Bay is only 4-4 at home, and the Eagles are 5-4 on the road.
But they have their work cut out for them based on injuries sustained at the end of the season.
The team was without WR DeVonta Smith in Week 18's loss to the Giants, and they also saw A.J. Brown leave with a knee injury (that is not expected to be serious). Additionally, QB Jalen Hurts is considering himself "day by day" with an injury to his throwing hand.
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