Wichita State vs South Florida Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament

The No. 8 seed Wichita State Shockers (18-13, 8-10 AAC) will hit the court in the AAC tournament against the No. 9 seed South Florida Bulls (13-18, 6-12 AAC), Thursday at 12:30 p.m. ET live on ESPNU.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Wichita State vs. South Florida Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Fort Worth, Texas
• Arena: Dickies Arena

Wichita State vs. South Florida Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Wichita State win (60.7%)

Before you wager on Thursday's Wichita State-South Florida spread (Wichita State -3.5) or over/under (144.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Wichita State vs. South Florida: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Wichita State has covered 15 times in 30 chances against the spread this season.
• South Florida has covered nine times in 30 matchups with a spread this season.
• Wichita State (5-11) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (31.2%) than South Florida (4-8) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (33.3%).
• The Shockers have done a better job covering the spread in road games (7-4-0) than they have in home games (6-10-0).
• The Bulls' winning percentage against the spread at home is .286 (4-10-0). On the road, it is .417 (5-7-0).
• Wichita State is 9-9-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
• South Florida has covered the spread six times in 18 AAC games.

Wichita State vs. South Florida: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Wichita State has won in 12, or 63.2%, of the 19 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Shockers have won 10 of 16 games when listed as at least -156 or better on the moneyline.
• South Florida has put together a 2-14 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 12.5% of those games).
• The Bulls are 2-11 (winning just 15.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Wichita State has a 60.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Wichita State vs. South Florida Head-to-Head Comparison

• Wichita State averages 73.7 points per game (187th in college basketball) while giving up 72.4 per contest (199th in college basketball). It has a +39 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 1.3 points per game.
• Xavier Bell's team-leading 15.1 points per game ranks 255th in the nation.
• South Florida puts up 74.6 points per game (152nd in college basketball) while allowing 74.6 per outing (259th in college basketball). It has a +1 scoring differential.
• Jamille Reynolds is 563rd in the nation with a team-leading 12.8 points per game.
• The Shockers average 34.8 rebounds per game (44th in college basketball) while allowing 30.5 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 4.3 boards per game.
• Quincy Ballard's 8.9 rebounds per game lead the Shockers and rank 37th in college basketball action.
• The Bulls are 219th in the nation at 31.2 rebounds per game. That's 3.2 fewer than the 34.4 their opponents average.
• Reynolds averages 7.6 rebounds per game (90th in college basketball) to lead the Bulls.
• Wichita State records 93.7 points per 100 possessions (235th in college basketball), while allowing 92.1 points per 100 possessions (143rd in college basketball).
• The Bulls average 94.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (218th in college basketball), and allow 94.2 points per 100 possessions (201st in college basketball).

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