Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 2

Warriors vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Friday, January 2, 2026
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second in the league scoring 32.1 points per game) when they attempt to hold off Stephen Curry (ninth in the NBA with 28.7 PPG) and the Golden State Warriors (18-16) on Friday, January 2, 2026 at Chase Center. The Thunder are 9-point road favorites in the game, which tips at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK. The point total in the matchup is set at 228.5.

Warriors vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (55.4%)

Warriors vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 18 times in 34 games with a set spread.
• The Warriors are 15-18-1 against the spread this season.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 18 times this season.
• Warriors games this season have eclipsed the over/under 20 times in 34 opportunities (58.8%).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread at home (11-8-0) than it has in road games (7-8-0).
• The Thunder have exceeded the total less often at home, hitting the over in 10 of 19 home matchups (52.6%). On the road, they have hit the over in eight of 15 games (53.3%).
• Against the spread, Golden State has been better at home (7-6-1) than away (8-12-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Warriors games have gone over eight of 14 times at home (57.1%), and 12 of 20 away (60%).

Thunder Leaders

• Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points, 6.4 assists and 4.7 rebounds.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.3 points, 1.6 assists and 8 boards.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 14.1 points, 3.5 boards and 3.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 8 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 17.2 points, 5.3 boards and 5.6 assists per game, shooting 45.2% from the floor.

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III averages 19.7 points, 5.6 boards and 4.9 assists. He is also draining 51.6% of his shots from the floor.
• Curry's numbers on the season are 28.7 points, 4 boards and 4.3 assists per game. He is draining 46.8% of his shots from the floor and 39.4% from beyond the arc, with an average of 4.8 triples (first in league).
• The Warriors receive 12.5 points per game from Brandin Podziemski, plus 4.4 boards and 3.2 assists.
• The Warriors get 10.8 points per game from Moses Moody, plus 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists.
• The Warriors are receiving 7.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Quinten Post.

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