Warriors vs. Rockets NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 28

Warriors vs. Rockets Game Info

• Date: Monday, April 28, 2025
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: TNT, SCHN, and NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors are slight 3.5-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Houston Rockets at Chase Center on Monday, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on TNT, SCHN, and NBCS-BA. The Warriors hold a 2-1 lead in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 202.5 points.

Warriors vs. Rockets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (53.9%)

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Trends

• The Warriors have put together a 41-38-3 record against the spread this season.
• In the Rockets' 82 games this year, they have 43 wins against the spread.
• Warriors games have gone over the total 41 times this season.
• Rockets games this year have gone over the point total 45 times in 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• Golden State has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (23-16-2) than it has in home games (18-22-1).
• The Warriors have exceeded the over/under in 20 of 41 home games (48.8%). They've fared better on the road, going over the total in 21 of 41 matchups (51.2%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Houston has a lower winning percentage at home (.512, 21-19-1 record) than away (.537, 22-19-0).
• In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Rockets' games have finished above the over/under at home (48.8%, 20 of 41) compared to on the road (61%, 25 of 41).

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry is averaging 24.5 points, 4.4 boards and 6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.5 points, 5.4 boards and 5.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green's numbers on the season are 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists per contest, shooting 42.4% from the floor and 32.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.2 made 3-pointers.
• Brandin Podziemski is averaging 11.7 points, 5.1 boards and 3.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Buddy Hield is averaging 11.1 points, 1.6 assists and 3.2 rebounds.

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun is averaging 19.1 points, 10.3 boards and 4.9 assists for the Rockets.
• The Rockets are getting 21 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game from Jalen Green.
• The Rockets are receiving 14.1 points, 8.2 boards and 3.8 assists per game from Amen Thompson.
• The Rockets receive 14.1 points per game from Fred VanVleet, plus 3.7 boards and 5.6 assists.
• The Rockets get 14 points per game from Dillon Brooks, plus 3.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists.

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