Virginia vs North Carolina College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 24

The Virginia Cavaliers (16-2, 5-1 ACC) will look to build on a seven-game home winning streak when they square off against the North Carolina Tar Heels (15-4, 3-3 ACC) on January 24, 2026 at John Paul Jones Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. North Carolina Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, January 24, 2026
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Arena: John Paul Jones Arena

Virginia vs. North Carolina Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Virginia win (76.8%)

To help you make an informed wager on Virginia-North Carolina matchup (in which Virginia is a 6.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 150.5 points), below are some betting insights and trends for Saturday's game.

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Virginia vs. North Carolina: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Virginia is 12-6-0 ATS this season.
• North Carolina has compiled a 9-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Virginia covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 54.5% of the time. That's less often than North Carolina covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (100%).
• When playing at home, the Cavaliers sport a worse record against the spread (6-4-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (4-1-0).
• The Tar Heels' winning percentage against the spread at home is .583 (7-5-0). Away, it is .250 (1-3-0).
• Virginia has five wins against the spread in six conference games this year.
• North Carolina has one ACC win against the spread this year.

Virginia vs. North Carolina: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Virginia has come away with 11 wins in the 13 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Cavaliers have yet to lose in eight games when named as moneyline favorite of -330 or better.
• North Carolina has been the moneyline underdog three total times this season. North Carolina has gone 1-2 in those games.
• The Tar Heels have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +260 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Virginia has a 76.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Virginia vs. North Carolina Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, Virginia was fifth-worst in the nation offensively (64.8 points scored per game) and 39th on defense (66.8 points allowed).
• Last year, Virginia was worst in the country in rebounds (26.8 per game) and 104th in rebounds allowed (30.1).
• With 14.7 assists per game last season, Virginia was 93rd in the country.
• In terms of turnovers, Virginia was 25th-best in the country in committing them (9.3 per game) last season. However, it was 19th-worst in forcing them (9.2 per game).
• North Carolina was 29th in college basketball last season with 80.7 points per game. At the other end of the court, it ranked 261st with 74.7 points allowed per contest.
• North Carolina pulled down 33.2 rebounds per game (105th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 31.2 rebounds per contest (182nd-ranked).
• Last season North Carolina ranked 93rd in college basketball in assists, dishing out 14.7 per game.
• Last season North Carolina committed 10.5 turnovers per game (120th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 10.2 turnovers per contest (288th-ranked).

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