UIC vs Valparaiso Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 6 seed UIC Flames (18-13, 10-10 MVC) will meet the No. 11 seed Valparaiso Beacons (13-18, 6-14 MVC) in the MVC tournament Thursday at Enterprise Center, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UIC vs. Valparaiso Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

UIC vs. Valparaiso Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UIC win (65.9%)

Before you bet on Thursday's UIC-Valparaiso spread (UIC -3.5) or over/under (149.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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UIC vs. Valparaiso: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UIC has covered 14 times in 28 games with a spread this season.
• Valparaiso has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 15 times.
• UIC covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 12.5% of the time. That's less often than Valparaiso covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (56.2%).
• Against the spread, the Flames have played worse when playing at home, covering four times in 12 home games, and nine times in 13 road games.
• The Beacons have performed better against the spread away (7-6-0) than at home (7-8-0) this year.
• UIC's record against the spread in conference play is 9-11-0.
• Valparaiso has beaten the spread 10 times in 20 MVC games.

UIC vs. Valparaiso: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UIC has come away with seven wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Flames have a mark of 5-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -184 or better on the moneyline.
• Valparaiso has been the moneyline underdog 19 total times this season. Valparaiso has gone 5-14 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +152 or longer, the Beacons have a record of 4-12 (25%).
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UIC has a 64.8% chance of pulling out a win.

UIC vs. Valparaiso Head-to-Head Comparison

• UIC is outscoring opponents by 3.4 points per game with a +103 scoring differential overall. It puts up 77.4 points per game (91st in college basketball) and gives up 74.0 per contest (240th in college basketball).
• Ahmad Henderson II's team-leading 12.0 points per game ranks 683rd in the country.
• Valparaiso scores 75.6 points per game (129th in college basketball) and concedes 75.2 (278th in college basketball) for a +13 scoring differential overall.
• Cooper Schwieger's 15.5 points per game leads Valparaiso and ranks 225th in college basketball.
• The Flames pull down 32.7 rebounds per game (140th in college basketball) while conceding 30.8 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.9 boards per game.
• Sasa Ciani is 75th in college basketball action with 7.8 rebounds per game to lead the Flames.
• The 30.9 rebounds per game the Beacons accumulate rank 247th in the nation. Their opponents pull down 31.9.
• Schwieger is 97th in the nation with 7.6 rebounds per game, leading the Beacons.
• UIC ranks 114th in college basketball with 98.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 204th in college basketball defensively with 94.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Beacons rank 132nd in college basketball averaging 97.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 282nd, allowing 97.1 points per 100 possessions.

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